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Sunday 23rd Jul 2017

FanDuel wants to fly you to Las Vegas to compete with 44 others for a chance as 200K. All you need to do is enter the $10 Daily Fantasy Baseball Championship (DFBC) Finals linked under the logo below.

  • Friday night, May 31
  • $10 to enter
  • 250 prizes paid
  • Odd week this time around as there are a number of excellent pitchers starting on the road which is a double whammy - not only does this make it harder to find a pitcher working at home, but also limits hitters since most are squaring off against a decent starter. Here's my initial team. I'm feeling a little frisky so I'm going to enter a couple more later. I'll post them in the comments between 6 and 7 PM ET.

    P Corey Kluber TAM@CLE $5,600 - Check out the peripherals, Kluber has walked just one while fanning 23 the previous three games.

    C Victor Martinez DET@BAL $2,600 - V-Mart is on the road but he's hard to pass up at this rock bottom price. I'll take my chances against Miguel Gonzalez.

    1B Adrian Gonzalez LOS@COL $4,200 - Another road hitter, but when the road is in Colorado, I don't sweat it. Gonzalez needs more help from his friends but against Jon Garland, he doesn't need much help.

    2B Freddy Galvis MIL@PHI $2,200 - Strictly a salary fit so I can really load up the outfield.

    3B Chase Headley TOR@SDP $2,900 - Extremely low price for a home hitter facing rookie Chad Jenkins. Yummy.

    SS Everth Cabrera TOR@SDP $4,200 - This isn't the type of pick I usually favor as the price reflects how well Cabrera is playing now and not his true level, but I wanted a chance to go on record as saying I am beginning to believe the power surge is real.

    OF Mike Trout HOU@LAA $5,700 - Dallas Keuchel - 'nuff said.

    OF Coco Crisp CWS@OAK $4,200 - When healthy, Covelli is one of the best fantasy players in the game.

    OF Torii Hunter DET@BAL $3,400 - My only same handedness match-up, this is the best fit for the money.

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    This week's promotional contest is another shot  at a seat in the Daily Fantasy Baseball Championship (DFBC) Finals. If you win the league, FanDuel will fly you to Vegas and you'll be one of 45 lucky individuals vying for the 200K top prize. A total of $2Million will be awarded.

  • Friday night, May 24
  • $10 to enter
  • 250 prizes paid
  • This is an interesting week as after my initial run-through, I found several players I liked - especially pitchers. There's a good chance I enter a few lineups tonight. When you're working with a limited bankroll, part of managing it properly is to pick and choose when to play. There are a couple of touchy weather situations this evening, but since I know I'll be at my PC from 6 PM to 7 PM ET, I know I'll be able to make adjustments (if necessary) though I plan on avoiding the most tenuous situations in Boston and Queens.

    Gratuitous plug time - I'll soon be contributing to a new site dedicated to daily games strategy, DFSEdge. One of the cool tools on the site is a listing of the game with the lineups once they are announced, but the weather situations are already up, including wind direction.

    Here's one of the lineups I'll be entering this evening.

    P Brandon McCarthy SDP@ARI $6,100 - There are some pricey options such as Jordan Zimmermann and Anibal Sanchez as well as a cheaper Bronson Arroyo (who was in my original line-up) but I switched to McCarthy who is gaining comfort in the desert and is facing the rather anemic Padres. He won't rack up the whiffs, but I'm hoping for some innings and perhaps a victory.

    C Alex Avila MIN@DET $2,600 - I'm willing to bet not many are joing me in playing Avila, who has been quite slow out of the gate and may sit against some lefties, as he has the past two nights. But I'll take my chance Avila snaps out of his funk against Samuel Deduno.

    1B Paul Goldschmidt SDP@ARI $5,000 - Goldschmidt has odd splits in that he fares better on the road even though Chase Field is a hitter's haven. Still, I like his prospects this evening as he faces Eric Stults.

    2B Jose Altuve OAK@HOU $3,300 - Tommy Milone is around the plate, Altuve makes frequent contact, a hit or two is a strong possibility. Add in a steal and run and Altuve is a nice option.

    3B Kyle Seager TEX@SEA $3,400 - Seager is back near the top of the order which is helpful. Hopefully this means he'll have an extra crack at Justin Grimm.

    SS Elvis Andrus TEX@SEA $3,500 - This is one of two instances of an away player cracking the lineup. The reason for this is I am leery to play Stephen Drew since the weather in Boston is shaky. Plus, I'll take a solid lead-off man against a ninth hitter.

    OF Shin-Soo Choo CHC@CIN $4,900 - Scott Feldman has really surprised, but I'll trust Choo to take care of business as he has done all season.

    OF Bryce Harper PHI@WAS $4,000 - Assuming Harper can avoid running into walls, I like this spot against Kyle Kendrick (though I am a fan of Kendrick and feel he's for real).

    OF Aaron Hicks MIN@DET $2,200 - I had $2,200 remaining and Hicks is a starter so I eschewed my lean to home players and will hope Hicks continues his recent success albeit facing the tough Anibal Sanchez.

    Good luck to all those entering their own squads.

    Please click on the FanDuel logo below to enter. Reserve your spot now and you can tweak your lineup right up until 7:00 PM ET.

    Todd will be not only entering the DFBC, but will also enter several other contests and will donate his winnings to this cause. Check back tomorrow and see how he plans on helping Madi get a D.A.D.

     

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    This week's featured promotion is a qualifier for the Daily Fantasy Baseball Championship (DFBC) Finals. Only $10 to enter and you can win a trip To Las Vegas and  one of 45 seats in the DFBC Finals. The grand prize is $200K with over $1M in total awarded.

    Click on the FanDuel logo below to reserve your team. You have until 7 PM ET Friday night to make changes.

    In previous discussions, I have alluded to a means to in essence hedge your bet when it comes to entering one of these standard contests with a high prize going to the top finishers. FanDuel offers a variety of contests, two of which greatly increase your odds of winning. There's a double up where almost half the participants double their money as well as a 50/50 where half the entries win slightly less than double the entry. If you have the confidence you can place in the top half of entrants, you can hedge your entry into the big money contest. If you fail to cash in the big money event, at least you get your entry back in the double up or 50/50.

    I've been doing this since the very beginning and have failed to cash in my "hedge" league only once in seven tries. And since I have cashed in a few of the big money leagues, I have built up a bit of a bankroll. Here's the thing. You don't have to play in the big money games. Instead, stay disciplined and play the double ups and 50/50's, perhaps multiple times in the same night. You won't hit the big score some of us are looking for with the leagues that pay several hundred dollars to the winners, but you'll almost certainly net a tidy little profit each week. I've been following the exploits of some folks doing just this and it has been very successful for them. Think of it this way. It's sort of like playing roulette but with a means to slightly increase the odds so you know if the ball will land in black or white. I'm playing two games of roulette. First I'm betting on a single number then I'm betting black or white.

    If you focus solely on the high-odds, low return on investments games, here are a couple of tips to help insure success:

  • NAIL the pitcher (I hope Alyssa Milano isn't reading this so she doesn't misinterpret), even if it means building a weaker offense. All you want to do is finish with a total that is fundamentally above average. With the way FanDuel scores points, a winning pitcher that goes deep into a game and fans some guys along the way is GOLD. Choosing wisely can get you halfway to cashing so all you need is one or two of your hitters to have a good day and...$cha-ching$! Don't worry about bang for the buck. Choose the ace at home against weaker competition regardless of salary. This may hinder your chance to rack up a high score, but you don't care.
  • Make sure you have a complete lineup by watching weather reports and not taking chances on players you aren't positive will be playing that night. You'd be shocked how many have dead spots in their lineup, increasing your odds of placing in the top half.
  • Along those lines, if you aren't going to be around an hour or so before the games begin, don't play that night unless you are 100 percent sure everyone you choose will be active. You have until the first game begins to make changes.
  • Similarly, you don't HAVE to play every day. If there isn't a pitching matchup you favor, sit this one out. No worries, they'll be other days.
  • Here's my lineup for this evening's contest. Good luck to all those entering. Maybe I'll see you in Vegas!

    P Max Scherzer CLE@DET $8,700 - I originally had the less expensive Alex Cobb at home versus San Diego, but I found a bunch of cheap hitters so I upgraded to the more dominant Scherzer.

    C Miguel Montero PHI@ARI $2,500 - In my column yesterday, I alluded to the fact that studies show perceived hot and cold streaks are not predictive. It doesn't get much colder than Montero.

    1B Prince Fielder CLE@DET $5,000 - I'll take my chances with Prince versus the raw but talented Corey Kluber.

    2B Dustin Ackley OAK@SEA $2,600 - We're at the point of the season where some slow starters have salaries reflective of their struggles. This is a great way to find bargains (and on the flip-side, avoid overpaying for lesser players are to good starts). I'm hoping Ackley hits near the top tonight, but regardless, I like his chances against Dan Straily.

    3B Mike Moustakas NYY@KAN $2,800 - Like Ackley, Moustakas is better than he has displayed thus far but is carrying a low salary. Both are lefties at home facing righties so this is a perfect place to exploit the low salaries. Moustakas is facing Phil Hughes who has been known to surrender a dinger or two.

    SS Alexei Ramirez LAA@CWS $2,600 - This is the one match-up I'm not sure about as scheduled starter Tommy Hanson is on bereavement leave. However, I can't imagine I'll change it irrespective of who starts especially if Ramirez continues to bat second.

    OF Alex Gordon NYY@KAN $3,900 - My favorite play of the night.

    OF Jacoby Ellsbury TOR@BOS $3,600 - Toronto is summoning the 39-year old Ramon Ortiz from the bullpen to replace Brandon Morrow this evening. Heck, I may have to enter another lineup with the maximum allowed four Red Sox just for kicks.

    OF Andy Dirks CLE@DET $3,200 - With the right-handed Kluber on the mound, the lefty swinging Dirks should get his hacks.

    That's it gang, my ticket to Vegas!

    Click the logo below if you want to go instead.

    fanduel-logo-160

    FanDuel is giving you another chance to be their guest in Las Vegas and win one of 45 seats in the Daily Fantasy Baseball Championship (DFBC) Finals. A total of $2Million will be awarded with the champion pocketing a cool $200K.

    • Friday night, May 17
    • $10 to enter
    • 250 prizes paid

    Please click on the FanDuel logo below to enter. Reserve your spot now and you can tweak your lineup right up until 7:00 PM ET.

    Before I divulge my attempt at glory, I must admit that I had my first disastrous day playing FanDuel earlier this week as I thought I had a pair of winning lineups during the afternoon games on Wednesday. Well, the road teams prevailed in a big way which croaked both my pitching and hitting. Fortunately, I'm still up on the season but I have some work to do to build the bankroll back up. The lesson, however, is to be careful managing your bankroll and stay disciplined. While the analogy is not perfect, there's a reason a stretch in the desert of Las Vegas is inundated with a whole bunch of pretty buildings with colorful lights, fountains and smelly guys flipping cards with scantily clad woman in your general direction.

    The other lesson is if you have a system that has been successful, don't abandon it after one rough day. So I will continue to focus on home match-ups with LHB vs. RHP and RHB vs. LHP.

    P Jaime Garcia MIL@STL $6,900 - Pitching was a little tough this time but I settled on a mid-priced option instead of trying to go really cheap (Jarrod Parker KAN@OAK $5,200) or top-tier (Cliff Lee CIN@PHI $8,500). Garcia's strikeout rate is pedestrian but he should be able to go deep into the game and his mates have a chance to score some runs facting Wily Peralta.

    C Carlos Ruiz CIN@PHI $3,000 - Ruiz hasn't really gotten it going since returning from his suspension but I'll take my chance against the impressive but still young Tony Cingrani.

    1B Chris Davis TAM@BAL $4,400 - I'm slow to come around but I am encouraged with Davis' better contact. I'm hoping he squares one or two up squaring off against Jeremy Hellickson who has been known to serve up a gopher on occasion.

    2B Josh Rutledge SFG@COL $3,500 - This pick is dedicated to my contribution to the mid-May re-ranks I participated in at ESPN. I'm taking some serious heat (and loving every second of it) with my man-crush for Rutledge front and center. Heck, I'm going to enter an entire FanDuel team of players for which I am being ridiculed for their ranking. So much for staying disciplined with my bank roll!

    3B Nolan Arenado SFG@COL $2,400 - I'm not warm and fuzzy about this pick mainly because Madison Bumgarner has the stuff to tame Coors not to mention make rookies look silly. But, the price and handedness is right so we'll roll the dice.

    SS Asdrubal Cabrera SEA@CLE $3,500 - I thought about pig-piling (I believe the technical term is stacking) against Brandon Maurer and I still may, but for now we'll settle for one Indian.

    OF Justin Upton LOS@ATL $4,600 - This is more a win the whole thing as opposed to a win a 50/50 or double up contest but Vegas is calling and you need to take a chance on some players capable of going off. Hyun-Jin Ryu has been impressive and has done a decent job of keeping the ball in the yard, but Upton is match-up proof and my choice to have a night.

    OF Carlos Beltran MIL@STL $3,600 - I expected more from Wily Peralta so maybe if I bet against him here, when he throws a gem he'll help my regular fantasy squads.

    OF Nick Markakis TAM@BAL $3,100 - Many times when you're down to one spot, there are no options that profile in a positive manner. Other times you're handed the perfect choice.

    If you'd like to join me in the quest for a trip to Las Vegas with a crack at 200K, click the FanDuel logo and I'll see you on the scoreboard.

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    Here are the league specs, my team is below.

  • $10 to enter
  • PRIZES $3,000 total 
  • 1st $600, 2nd $450, 3rd $350
  • Pay to 37 places
  • Click the logo below to enter.

    If you're a first time FanDuel user, you can still get a free 2013 Mastersball Platinum subscription if you deposit $25 using the promo code Masters. Details HERE.

    My squad:

    P Justin Masterson MIN@CLE $7,600 – I’m putting my credo of only starting pitcher at home to the test here as I am leaving some awfully nice options on the board in Felix Hernandez, Doug Fister and Clayton Kershaw. The other arm I considered was C.C. Sabathia at home versus the Oakland Athletics, but the A’s remind me of a softball team and could take C.C. deep a few times so I let the ball yard be the deciding factor and opted with Masterson at the more pitcher friendly Progressive Field. Admittedly, I am a leery of the choice since the opposition Twins have several quality lefty swingers in Joe Mauer, Justin Morneau, Chris Parmelee and newcomer Oswaldo Arcia. Masterson’s splits are well-documented – he slays right handed batters but can struggle facing lefthanders.

    C Russell Martin WAS@PIT $3,000 – Each of my hitters profiles the same: off-handed matchup at home facing what I perceive to be a lesser hurler. Martin squares off against Ross Detwiler.

    1B Ryan Howard MIA@PHI MIA@PHI $3,300 – Howard is facing Ricky Nolasco at home. I wanted to pile on this matchup so Howard will have some FanDuel friends tonight.

    2B Chase Utley MIA@PHI $4,100 – And that is teammate is Utley, another offhanded matchup. Howard and Utley both hit towards the top of the order which is another plus

    3B Mike Moustakas CWS@KAN $2,900 – Moose is off to a slow start so hopefully facing Dylan Axelrod will be his elixir.

    SS Mike Aviles MIN@CLE $2,600 – This is a little bit of a risk as I am assuming Aviles finds a spot against southpaw Pedro Hernandez. I'll check back when lineups are announced but my guess is Jason Kipnis is sitting.

    OF Starling Marte WAS@PIT $4,200 – My dice roll for the week is going with a couple of high priced outfielders facing the same starter, Detwiler. Marte is scoring tons of runs and can accrue FanDuel points in number of ways so I’ll hope the Bucs’ leadoff hitter has a big night.

    OF Andrew McCutchen WAS@PIT $4,200 – If Detwiler is on, I could be in for a long night, but if he is off, it could be a fun one. Cutch is not lighting it up, but like Marte he can score fantasy points via pop or speed.

    OF Ichiro Suzuki OAK@NYY $3,100 – This pick works out nicely as the money works and it gets a top of the order guy in the lineup in a good hitter's park.

    This team has a weird feel to it, probably because more so than usual, I forced it to fit my criteria of focusing on players at home with off-handed matchups against weaker pitchers, hopefully in a hitter’s park. This will be interesting for me to follow.

    What do you have?

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