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The Royals' New Second Basemen PDF Print E-mail
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Written by Rob Leibowitz   
Friday, 05 August 2011 11:34

The Royals handed over their second base job to Johnny Giovatella. Mike Aviles had already been traded in anticipation of his promotion with Chris Getz now moving into the primary back-up middle infielder and perhaps primary back-up third basemen too though that duty could go to Yomaicio Navarro who was acquired in the aforementioned trade of Mike Aviles.

Giovatella is not a high-end raw tools prospect and is pretty much at his ceiling already.  Standing at just 5’8”, the right-handed hitter has made the majors mostly on the back of his offensive production. He combines very good contact-hitting skills with average or better plate discipline skills and gap power. This year he has made contact approximately 89% of the time while walking 8% of the time. These skills have parlayed into a .322 and .339 batting average in 2010 and 2011 with 9 homers each of these seasons.

Long-term Giovatella strikes me as a mid to high single digits homerun hitter in the Majors. He is not a fast runner, though he can steal a base here and there given good base running instincts. His defense is average at best, so he will need to hit as his glove alone will not earn him the benefit of the doubt when/if he struggles. I am not entirely convinced yet he will be a regular.300 hitter in the Majors given his lack of foot speed, but a .280+ is possible given his contact skills and decent power for despite his size. Given his skill set he is indeed the type of player who could make a fairly rapid transition to playing well in the Majors. Definitely a pick-up in AL only leagues. Expect to spend at least into the mid-teens in FAAB to acquire his services.

Seattle Makes a Call-Up All Their Own
Rumors have it that Trayvon Robinson will be replacing Greg Halman on the roster today and will become the M's starting left fielder. I've opined on him several times, most recently in this week's "The Prospector".

 

Last Updated on Saturday, 06 August 2011 07:26
 
Paul Goldschmidt: First Look PDF Print E-mail
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Written by Lawr Michaels   
Wednesday, 03 August 2011 01:06

The Diamondbacks are having a pretty good season, and though I don't think that they can win a title with Willie Bloomquist as an everyday shortstop and Jason Marquis the magic missing starter who will make everything fall into place, they are not a bad team by any means.

At least they played the Giants tough on Tuesday night when Daniel Hudson and Tim Lincecum locked horns in a game that was very tight through seven innings.

Lincecum had an interesting performance, mowing down Arizona in the first, then struggling with 48 pitches over the second and third innings, though the righty did not allow a run. His fastball actually clocked at 96, which is certainly good news, but his command came and went. Somewhere in there Timmy must have had some dazzling movement on his pitches though, with the hardest hit ball coming in the sixth inning on a grounder to Aubrey Huff. Two other hitters topped the ball in front of the plate making the sphere look positively dizzy.

The Giants strung singles by Cody Ross and newbie Carlos Beltran, and then Pablo Sandoval banged a double in the fourth, giving the Giants a run.

And then came Arizona's new first sacker, Paul Goldschmidt, in the fifth.

I like Goldschmidt. I wrote about him a month or so ago in my weekly minor league piece in the USA Today, right around the time my mate Zach Steinhorn was hoping to score the first baseman for one of his teams.

Coming from Double-A Mobile, Goldschmidt was hitting .306-30-94 so far this season. The first sacker usurped Juan Miranda, who beat out Russell Branyan (released) and Brandon Allen (traded), not to mention the possibility of Wily Mo Pena (also released) grabbing the spot.

When I got to the yard before the game, I asked the guys who sit next to me how he looked last night, and they said he hit the ball hard.

Well, in Goldschmidt's second at-bat tonight he parked a first-pitch Lincecum fastball somewhere in the night (I never did see where it landed). Up until the fifth, Lincecum did not allow a hit, until Ryan Roberts lined a single to left and Goldschmidt became the first rookie to hit his first homer off the two-time Cy Younger.

That was Goldschmidt's only hit, but, he also made a great diving stop in the ninth: not a bad play for a big (6'3" and 245 pounds) guy.

I would say that the Diamondbacks made a smart move giving him a chance. Not only that, it was the right move.

 

Last Updated on Wednesday, 03 August 2011 02:18
 
Life and Death in the Transactions #30 (Michael Restovich) PDF Print E-mail
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Written by Lawr Michaels   
Saturday, 30 July 2011 00:00

Oh yes, there are so many trades--Carlos Beltran, Colby Rasmus, and Edwin Jackson at least--to discuss, and I will cover some of that on the Hotpage, but the name that caught my eye in the tranactions this last cycle was that of Michael Restovich.

Restovich was selected in the second round of the 1997 draft by the Twins, and by 1999 he was rated the #50 prospect by Baseball America, then #26 the next year, #63 in 2002 and #37 in 2003, but none of that amounted to much in the majors, as his .239-6-21 over 268 at-bats, nothing close to the .284-214-837 over 4977 minor league at-bats.

That was mostly as part of the Twins chain, and well, as you can tell he was yet another of those guys we all hoped would do it, based upon .319-19-107 totals he got as a 20-year old with 30 doubles and a fine 74 walks to 100 strikeouts at Quad Cities.

I confess I carried Restovich on my minor league rosters in a couple of leagues, and even hopefully drafted him as a reserve in Tout Wars way back when.

Now 32-years old, Restovich moved to Reno and the Diamondbacks last week from the White Sox, and well, yet once again we are all dissappointed by what might have been.

Probably no less than Restovich, though.

Last Updated on Saturday, 30 July 2011 08:57
 
The Betemit Deal PDF Print E-mail
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Written by Rob Leibowitz   
Thursday, 21 July 2011 09:15

The Royals have their third basemen of the future in place in Mike Moustakas. They are in last place, have a record of 40-58, and are 11.5 games out. Wilson Betemit is an upcoming free agent with a relatively inexpensive current contract  and is also a switch-hitter with power skills and positional versatility. That equation usually ends in trade to a contender.

However, in this scenario, Betemit will not be used as a utility player as one might expect, but in fact he is replacing the Tigers’ long-time third basemen Brandon Inge who has been designated for assignment to clear room,slating Betemit to be their everyday starter.

Can Betemit actually hold down the job? Not really. While he is technically a switch hitter, he has superior splits as a right-handed hitter. In other words, he is prone to overexposure and a steady diet of facing right-handed pitching is likely to cause his batting average to decline.

Generally speaking, the 30-year old skills have remained relatively unchanged over the years. His plate discipline numbers still hover around the 10% walk mark and 25% strikeout mark. He is actually showing less power than in any other season with a HR/FB of just 5.2% and an isolated power of .128.

I think Betemit could do the job, but as a platoon player. The Tigers would do well to acquire a left-handed bat or an even better bat to push Betemit back into the bench role for which he is best suited. At the very least, though, this will mark an upgrade to Inge who seems likely to clear waivers and who may actually accept assignment to the Minor Leagues.

The negative outcome of this situation is for the pitching staff as they go from an at least adequate if not good third basemen in Inge to  Betemit who is a sub-par defender, rating well a below average in just about every defensive metric and scouting report available. If you own Betemit, expect him to be replaced for defensive purposes late in the game.

The Royals Haul

The Royals managed to acquire to players in exchange for Betemit: Left-handed pitcher Antonio Cruz and catcher, Julio Rodriguez. Cruz, 19, is a short and southpaw working in a swing man’s role in A+ ball. He has a 6.9 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 and probably projects best as a middle reliever. Rodriguez, 21, is a right-handed hitter known for his above average-contact making skills and defensive potential. He offers little otherwise in terms of offensive potential in the power, speed, or OBP skill department and profiles at best as a back-up in the Majors.

In summary, one could not expect the Royals to get much more in return for a soon to be free agent role-player like Betemit. Cruz and Rodriguez have slight chances to make the Majors, but it is unlikely to be roles that of any relevance from a fantasy perspective.

Last Updated on Thursday, 21 July 2011 11:12
 
Mike Trout: First Look PDF Print E-mail
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Written by Lawr Michaels   
Sunday, 17 July 2011 00:00

While working the Athletics/Angels game Friday evening, hitting in the #9 slot for the Halos was none other than the hottest prospect of the week, Mike Trout.

Of course nine innings is nothing to base much analysis on, save Trout did have to do the rote things: swing in the on-deck circle, get his arm loose between innings in the field, and well, even a couple of times in game situations. For the archives, Trout was the Angels' first-round pick in 2009, #25 overall, and as a 19-year old is the youngest player in the Majors. Here are my initial thoughts: 

While not that tall, at 6'1", at 200 pounds, Trout carries himself as a big guy.

For a big guy, Trout moves very well, as his 97 Minor League swipes attest.

Trout has a strong arm. Twice during the game Friday, there were plays at the plate, and both times the ball went to Trout's center field territory. Both times the outfielder uncorked strong throws, though both times the run scored before the resulting throw would make a difference. Still...

The youngster made four plate appearances, during which Trout drove in his first Major League run, taking a low and away Brad Ziegler pitch into right field with a fine plate appearance.

Over his four at-bats, Trout saw a fine total of 21 pitches, and considering that three were during his first plate appearance, spreading the 18 over the final three was just fine.

Trout did strike out in his final at-bat, facing Andrew Bailey. I have noticed repeatedly over the last few years a pattern of hard-throwing confident pitchers, when facing young hitters, and this at-bat was typical. Bailey tossed three balls the first three pitches to see if he could get Trout to chase. However, with the count 3-0, Bailey came in with a fastball that Trout took for strike one, and followed with an off-speed pitch that Trout flailed at. Finally, Bailey put his quarry away with a fastball down the middle in the mid-90's.

True, Bailey was toying with the hitter to some degree, but Trout looks as if he has the tools to make it, and maybe even the temperment. He may not stick this year, aside from a likely September call-up, but the kid can play.

And, in a couple of years, Bailey will likely not be able to approach Trout the same way as he did Friday, or the pitcher will get beat.

Last Updated on Sunday, 17 July 2011 09:01
 
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