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Monday 16th Oct 2017

Week 6 marks the first week of the 2017 NFL season where we have a whole bunch of games that are lopsided on paper. Just remember, they do not play the games on paper. The Texans, Patriots, Falcons, Ravens, Redskins, and Broncos are all favored by a touchdown or more. Past history tells us that at least one of them will suffer an upset. But from a DFS perspective, these high point spread, mostly high projected totals offer several stacks to consider.

Brady-White-Hogan, Watson-Hopkins-Fuller, Ryan-Freeman-Jones, Cousins-Pryor-Reed are all viable stacks on the favorite side. But do not overlook McCown-McGuire-Kearse and Hoyer-Garcon from the underdog side.

But the stack I like the best comes from the highest Vegas total game on the board this week: Brees-Kamara-Thomas. With AP out of the picture, Kamara figures to be on the field for all the passing situations and should get enough carries to easily earn his cheap price. Michael Thomas has been very good but has yet to have that real signature game. Brees has at least 27 completions in three of four games. The Saints defense is bad enough (in spite of shutting down the Dolphins) that the Lions are almost certain to keep this game close, forcing the Saints to continue to try and score. 

With so many favorable options, there is no need to try and outthink the game as the ownership already figures to be spread out.

QB Tom Brady NE 8300 Among highest projected team total
QB Aaron Rodgers GB 7300 Always a good chance for three TDs - cheaper than Brady
QB Drew Brees NO 7200 This is still a pass-first team
QB Kirk Cousins WAS 6800 SF secondary getting abused
QB Deshaun Watson HOU 6700 Hottest QB on the planet right now
QB Matthew Stafford DET 6500 Shootout with NO
QB Josh McCown NYJ 5200 Patriots having trouble on defense. Very cheap.
         
RB Kareem Hunt KC 8200 I am finally in this week. Fournette abused Pitt
RB Melvin Gordon LAC 7800 Virtual guaranteed volume
RB Javorius Allen BAL 5400 Looks good if West sits
RB James White NE 5200 Primary pass catching back
RB Duke Johnson Jr. CLE 5100 Break-out PPR season
RB Elijah McGuire NYJ 4600 Better without Forte
RB Alvin Kamara NO 4500 Price set before AP trade
RB Jerick McKinnon MIN 4100 Inconsistent but saw some volume without Cook
         
WR DeAndre Hopkins HOU 8100 Great chemistry with Watson
WR Keenan Allen LAC 7900 Always gets the targets
WR Michael Thomas NO 7300 Looking for big Brees game
WR Chris Hogan NE 7000 Emerged as the number one receiver
WR Mike Evans TB 6900 Price is enticing
WR Jarvis Landry MIA 6600 If Parker is out, where else do they go?
WR Michael Crabtree OAK 5800 With Cooper invisible, the targets go his direction
WR Davante Adams GB 5700 Severely underpriced
WR Terrelle Pryor Sr. WAS 5700 Everyone is burning SF
WR Will Fuller V HOU 5200 Another one with instant chemistry with Watson
WR Jermaine Kearse NYJ 4800 McCown-Kearse stack?
WR JuJu Smith-Schuster PIT 3600 The best cheap option
         
TE Jordan Reed WAS 5000 Could post big numbers if healthy
TE Hunter Henry LAC 4100 Big TD target
TE Cameron Brate TB 3900 Great rapport with Jameis
TE George Kittle SF 3400 Coming off a big game
TE David Njoku CLE 3000 Strong red zone target
TE Demetrius Harris KC 2800 Cheap option if Kelce still concussed
         
DST Texans HOU 3900 Tough without Watt, but this is Cleveland
DST Ravens BAL 3700 Trubisky figured to throw some picks
DST Jaguars JAX 3600 Been monsters on defense
DST Falcons ATL 3500 Chance to blow out Dolphins at home
DST Buccaneers TB 2600 Palmer is not what he used to be
         
QB Drew Brees NO 7200  
RB Kareem Hunt KC 8200  
RB Elijah McGuire NYJ 4600  
RB Alvin Kamara NO 4500  
WR Michael Thomas NO 7300  
WR Davante Adams GB 5700  
WR Terrelle Pryor Sr. WAS 5700  
TE Cameron Brate TB 3900  
DST Buccaneers TB 2600  
      49700  

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