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Sunday 17th Dec 2017

LABRLOGO

Each week, your friends at Mastersball will post the results of the weekly LABR FAAB run, featuring the winning bid as well a the runner-up bids. There are three LABR leagues, a 12-team AL only, 12-team NL only and 15-team Mixed Draft League. You can see the complete standings for each league by clicking on the appropriate heading, located just under each player photo.

Included with each league report will be commentary from a Mastersball staff member participating in that league. We invite you to ask questions and post comments at the bottom of the report.

All contingency bids for awarded players are included. Sometimes, this bid is tied to a player that the owner received, so at times the bid amount is larger than the winning bid. We are including it to provide as much information and context as possible with each report.

tyler clippard

AMERICAN LEAGUE

SUCCESSFUL BIDS  

PLAYER WINNING BID      
Tyler Clippard, CWS Fangraphs 16 Rotowire 7    
Ryan Goins, TOR Winning Fantasy Baseball 2                                                    
Blake Treinen, OAK Rotowire 2 Colton & The Wolfman 1    
Caleb Joseph, BAL SiriusXM 2      
Caleb Smith, NYY Mastersball 1 NFBC/Stats, Inc. 1    
Giovanny Urshela, CLE Fangraphs 1 ESPN.com 1    
Adam Engel, CWS Baseball Prospectus 1      
Chris Smith, OAK Colton & The Wolfman 1      
Dan Jennings, CWS NFBC/Stats, Inc. 1      
Darwin Barney, TOR Winning Fantasy Baseball 1      

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER        
Kyle Gibson, MIN Colton & The Wolfman 1                                                                           
Omar Narvaez, CWS SiriusXM 1      
Dixon Machado, DET Winning Fantasy Baseball 1      
Josh Rutledge, BOS Winning Fantasy Baseball 1      

Lawr Michaels' Commentary

In the season of chasing saves, the trend continues with Eno Sarris hoping to bag the White Sox saves, investing $16 on Tyler Clippard, besting bids of $3 and $7.

And, though that is where the expensive purchases ended, Clay Link gambled a couple of bucks on Blake Treinen hoping for some Oakland closure. Elsewhere, Shawn Childs and Greg Ambrosius spent a buck on Dan Jennings, while in an odd case of role reversal, the New York tandem of Glenn Colton and Rick Wolf acquired Oakland hurler Chris Smith for a buck, while Bay Area resident, yours truly, got the Yankees Caleb Smith for the same price. And, in a perfect name game pairing, another Caleb, that would be Joseph, was a smart pick-up for Ray Flowers for just a buck.

Hitting in the waiver pool is thin, but Ryan Goins still generated a couple of bucks worth of FAAB to Larry Schechter who paired the Jay up with his Toronto teammate Darwin Barney. The final hitters in roster flux were Adam Engel to Mike Gianella for a dollar and Giovany Urshela, also to Mr. Sarris, also for a buck.

Todd's Take

Sorry, I couldn't track down a picture of Clippard in his new threads, and unlike that dude who wakes up Bryce Harper in his hotel room "perfectly coiffed", and then takes a selfie with him in the on-deck circle, I don't have all-access.

Everyone things saves are a crap shoot to project. There's significant variance, but there are some guidelines to help ballpark a logical amount. Saves correlate to wins - the more wins, the more saves. Further, on average, 52 percent of wins are saved, at least for the past five seasons. This year, only 47 percent of wins are saved, but that's a story for another day.

The White Sox are pacing for 65 wins, meaning they're due another 25 victories. With their deals, they'll likely win fewer, but let's be generous and stick with 25.

The percent of wins that are saved correlates with ERA -- the lower the ERA, the more wins are saved. This correlation is greater than run differential. Runs scored and percent of wins that are saved don't correlate.

The White Sox are mid-park in terms of team ERA. That will likely slide. Let's say they'll be right around this season's average of 47 percent. That's 11 or 12 more team saves (they only have 13 now). Someone is likely to vulture one or two, so my projection for Clippard is nine or 10 more saves. 

Overall, MLB is pacing to have 120 fewer saves than last season. This leads to more bunching in your fantasy league standings. It all depends where you're situated, but with bunched stats, there's more room to move. That is, nine saves could result in more points than previous seasons if you're in the right spot in the standings.

jd martinez

NATIONAL LEAGUE

SUCCESSFUL BIDS  

PLAYER WINNING BID      
J.D. Martinez, ARI Derek Carty 93 ESPN - Karabell 92 Sandlot Shrink 72  
    Baseball HQ 66 RotoWire - DVR 18  
    NFBC/Stats, Inc. 9    
Ryan Madson, WSH USA TODAY Sports 21 Baseball HQ 16 RotoWire - DVR 1  
Sean Doolittle, WSH RotoWire - DVR 18 USA TODAY Sports 16 Mastersball 15  
    Colton & The Wolfman 1    
Sean Rodriguez, ATL NFBC/Stats, Inc. 9 Derek Carty 1    
Allen Cordoba, SD Colton & The Wolfman 1 Derek Carty 1    
Hector Sanchez, SD Derek Carty 1      
Cameron Perkins, PHI NFBC/Stats, Inc. 1                             

Brian Walton's Commentary

As I wrote about last week, FAAB leader Derek Carty missed out on Jose Quintana because he forgot to bid, but he told me he preferred offense, anyway. With outfielder J.D. Martinez’ arrival in the desert of Arizona the big inter-league move this week, Carty was poised to pounce, and did, spending $93 to get his man.

The other interesting trade of the week brought relievers Ryan Madson and Sean Doolittle to Washington. However, the closing situation remains unclear to say the least.

In favor of Madson: Nats president Mike Rizzo said Madson was his acquisition target and Doolittle was added during the discussion. Doolittle pitched Sunday in a non-save situation. Madson is right-handed.

In favor of Doolittle: The lefty received the first two save opportunities after the trade, with Madson pitching the eighth.

In favor of both: The Nats are one of the best teams in the NL, with ample save opportunities.

In favor of neither: The Nats are rumored to still be looking at other closers. With one of the poorer pens in the game, adding three relievers is not out of the question.

Unlike Tout, where the two went for a total of $61 in equivalent FAAB, here in LABR, they sold for a total of “just” $39. Also unlike Tout, Madson went for the higher amount, $21, to $18 for Doolittle. Steve Gardner snared Madson while Derek Van Riper added Doolittle.

Todd's Take

Apparently, Martinez is more photogenic than Clippard as there are several shots of him wearling his new colors.

I had to make a decision in the NFBC NL only league. I'm currently in second, around five points out of the lead. My hitting is better than my pitching, despite owning Clayton Kershaw. Obviously, I'm concerned about his back issue.

I have the sixth most FAAB left, so unless there's a bunch of deals, I'm not getting anyone of significant consequence. I could use help in saves, so I opted to go hard after Doolittle, not spending all my FAAB, leaving a little over 100 units of a 1000 budget so I can still grab emergency replacements. I won the bid, so now I'm hoping Brian's second outcome is prescient. Dusty Baker seems to be the kind of guy that wants one guy - Doolittle was handed the ball for the first two chances. We not only have to read numbers, we have to read tea leaves. We'll see what happens.

kyle barraclough

MIXED LEAGUE

SUCCESSFUL BIDS  

PLAYER WINNING BID      
Kyle Barraclough, MIA ESPN.com 4 Fangraphs 3 Scout Fantasy 2                         
Jerad Eickhoff, PHI Razzball (Rudy Gamble) 4 @TheFantasyFix 3 MLB.com 2  
Brett Phillips, MIL ESPN.com 3      
Jabari Blash, SD Fangraphs 3      
Tyler Clippard, CWS @TheFantasyFix 3 Scout Fantasy 3    
Anthony Swarzak, CWS Fangraphs 3 @TheFantasyFix 1    
Jose Leclerc, TEX Rotowire 3      
Ben Revere, LAA Baseball HQ 2      
Miguel Rojas, MIA ESPN.com 2      
Carlos Asuaje, SD Baseball HQ 2 Scout Fantasy 1    
Jett Bandy, MIL Fantasy Alarm 1      

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER        
Chad Kuhl, PIT Razzball (Rudy Gamble) 3 @TheFantasyFix 1                                                  
Matt Joyce, OAK Baseball HQ 2 Fangraphs 1    
Brandon Moss, KC Baseball HQ 2      
Tyler White, HOU Baseball HQ 2      
Andrew Knapp, PHI Fantasy Alarm 1      
Chris Herrmann, ARI Fantasy Alarm 1      
Hector Sanchez, SD Fantasy Alarm 1      
James McCann, DET Fantasy Alarm 1      
Tucker Barnhart, CIN Fantasy Alarm 1      
Zach Davies, MIL Rotowire 1      

Todd Zola's Commentary

With set up man David Phelps traded to Seattle, Kyle Barraclough's pathway to saves has one fewer roadblock. For the season. the right-hander is having an off year. he's fanning a hitter an inning, but that's well below his career norm. It would be one thing if the drop in punch outs came with fewer walks, but alas, it doesn't. Barraclough's issued 30 free passes in 45 1/3rd innings.

Next up is Jerad Eickhoff, a personal favorite entering the season whose been a big disappointment over the first half. He's showing signs of life in the second half so maybe Eickhoff can give Rudy Gamble a boost. I'm rooting for him, since I own him (Eickhoff, not Rudy) in just about every other league.

Brett Phillips is an interesting pick-up for Stephania Bell as the Brewers outfielder is in line for an extended look with Keon Broxton recently demoted.

Todd's Take

Not much toi say about Team Todd. I'm still grinding, making moves, keeping my active roster as strong as possible. I'm also still in the basement. What a difference a year makes.

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