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Wednesday 18th Oct 2017

There is good and bad with Week 17 upon us. Among the bad, it is the last regular season week of the NFL season and many teams with playoff spots locked up will rest or limit their players. The good – we have a full Sunday 16-game slate for the only time this entire season. We also have a silly 56-point Vegas total in the Saints-Falcons game.

Aaron Rodgers has been silly since Week 7 with two or more touchdown passes in every game except for the ice bowl, and three or more TDs in six of those games. As much as I believe that Brees-Ryan could go back and forth, both of those teams have enough of a running game to put me all-in on Rodgers.

QB Aaron Rodgers GB 7700 Best QB right now with the most to play for
QB Drew Brees NO 7600 Scary high 56-point total
QB Matt Ryan Atl 7400 See Brees above
QB Kirk Cousins Was 6500 One game for a playoff berth and a big payday
QB Matthew Stafford Det 6000 Should be playing comeback most of the game
QB Blake Bortles Jax 5600 Trying to prove he is relevant for 2017

There is a ton of potential value in the running back slot with some of the big boys sitting it out or injured. Follow the news as we get closer to roster lock time to see if any other low-price backs will have an extended opportunity.

RB David Johnson Ari 9800 Expected to get a near full load
RB Devonta Freeman Atl 7000 Only one dud in the past five games
RB Jordan Howard Chi 6800 Earning number one status for next season
RB Jay Ajayi Mia 5900 This is not Buffalo, but he's the Dolphins' best weapon
RB Mark Ingram NO 5600 Playing for top spot next season
RB Alex Collins Sea 4600 Last man standing against worst run D - not cheap
RB Kenneth Dixon Bal 4200 Another back trying to earn 2017 starting job
RB Darren Sproles Phi 4000 Someone will be in the backfield for Eagles
RB Rex Burkhead Cin 3500 Catches enough passes at cheap price to be in play
RB Shaun Draughn SF 3200 Same play as Burkhead

I know it feels a week late, but Jordy Nelson has to go with Aaron Rodgers. There are enough cheap running backs to avoid skimping at the receiver position.

WR Jordy Nelson GB 8100 Playing at another level
WR Mike Evans TB 8000 Last Bucs playmaker still standing
WR Doug Baldwin Sea 7200 Even more significant with Lockett done
WR Brandin Cooks NO 6900 Not at home, but still in a dome
WR Michael Thomas NO 6700 Expected to put exclamation on star rookie season
WR Golden Tate Det 6600 Needs to make plays for Lions to compete
WR Sammy Watkins Buf 5800 Late season tease
WR Davante Adams GB 5700 Caught the TD he dropped the week before
WR DeSean Jackson Was 5600 Playing for another free agent contract
WR Tyreek Hill KC 5600 Dynamic playmaker
WR Allen Robinson Jax 5500 Still cheaply priced
WR Cameron Meredith Chi 5200 Earning time with Howard for 2017
WR Steve Smith Sr. Bal 4900 Announced retirement - narrative for TD targets
WR DeVante Parker Mia 4300 Big play ability even with Moore

Here we are at the black hole known as tight end. Throw a dart, roster a tight end.

TE Travis Kelce KC 5000 Over 100 yards in five of past six
TE Zach Ertz Phi 4800 Only two targets last week after 36 in previous three
TE Eric Ebron Det 3600 At least four catches in four straight
TE Jared Cook GB 3100 Seeing more targets with Cobb out

Tough to gauge which defenses will show up. Certainly the Steelers are in an ideal spot against Cleveland, but how long will their defensive starters play? 

DST Broncos Den 3900 Were embarrassed by KC last week
DST Seahawks Sea 3700 Should dominate SF
DST Steelers Pit 3600 Nothing to play for, but this is Cleveland
DST Texans Hou 3500 Matt Cassel is not good
DST Bills Buf 3400 Jets are a mess
DST Cardinals Ari 3000 Rams getting ready for 2017

Here is my planned GPP lineup led by the three Packers with Cook still a possibility at tight end. 

QB Aaron Rodgers GB 7700
RB Devonta Freeman Atl 7000
RB Shaun Draughn SF 3200
WR Jordy Nelson GB 8100
WR Michael Thomas NO 6700
WR Davante Adams GB 5700
TE Eric Ebron Det 3600
RB Darren Sproles Phi 4000
DST Bills Buf 3400

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