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Thursday 21st Sep 2017

Week 7 features only two teams on byes (Panthers and Cowboys). We have nine games on the slate with Vegas totals of 46 or higher, including Chargers-Falcons at 53. There is a nice mix of high price and lower price options in each position group. Unlike last week when the overwhelming consensus was to try to fit three high-priced running backs in your lineup, we do not have that situation this week.

Have to love Matt Ryan and Philip Rivers in the potential back and forth game indoors. Marcus Mariota and Andy Dalton appear to be nice cheap options at QB who are playing well recently.

QB Drew Brees NO 7400 Concerned about road game, but high total
QB Matt Ryan Atl 7200 Favorite in highest projected scoring game
QB Andrew Luck Ind 7000 Tends to fall behind with subpar running game
QB Philip Rivers SD 6500 Likely to be playing from behind
QB Marcus Mariota Ten 6000 Red hot past two games. Poised for another
QB Andy Dalton Cin 6000 Great matchup. Concerned about blowout

Unlike last week, there are several strong RB options at under $6,000 while some of the higher-priced backs have a myriad of issues. LeSean McCoy’s injury on Wednesday is troubling. Even David Johnson has a difficult matchup against Seattle.

RB Le'Veon Bell Pit 8000 Nervous about price. Most solid volume floor
RB David Johnson Ari 7400 Back to back 100 yard, 3 TD games
RB DeMarco Murray Ten 7200 Will see high volume again
RB Devonta Freeman Atl 5900 In a nice spot to score and catch passes
RB Spencer Ware KC 5800 Beating out Charles on performance
RB Jacquizz Rodgers TB 4300 Cheap option against really bad rush defense
RB Mike Gillislee Buf 3000 Nice option if McCoy misses time with hamstring

The lower-end WR options are good, but not quite as good as last week. We lose recent fantasy favorite Cameron Meredith.

WR Julio Jones Atl 9200 Best receiver in highest scoring game
WR Amari Cooper Oak 7900 Solid matchup at $1300 less than Julio
WR Mike Evans TB 7800 Concern if Bucs have too much success on ground
WR Brandin Cooks NO 7500 High price to pay for big plays
WR Marvin Jones Jr. Det 7000 Might be best receiver in NFL right now
WR Jarvis Landry Mia 6800 Rebounded nicely. Now if he could ever score
WR Golden Tate Det 4900 One game proved he still has skills
WR Michael Thomas NO 4700 Sees the targets week after week
WR Brandon LaFell Cin 3900 Turning into a solid number two receiver
WR Adam Humphries TB 3000 Cheap slot option with Vincent Jackson out

After being burned by Zach Ertz over the past two weeks, I am done with him for now. A floor near zero is way too low. Hunter Henry appears to be the best option on the board at half the price of Gronk.

TE Rob Gronkowski NE 7200 Seeing the volume with Brady
TE Delanie Walker Ten 4900 The TE pool takes a hit this week with Olsen on bye
TE Dennis Pitta Bal 4000 Good low-price option
TE Coby Fleener NO 3800 Concern about playing on the road
TE Hunter Henry SD 3600 Best value in TE group
TE Vernon Davis Was 2900 A cheap option in GPP

There are not very many defenses that fit the preferred defensive profile – home team, favorite, low Vegas total.

DST Bengals Cin 3600 Matchup with lowly Browns who might miss Terrelle Pryor
DST Bills Buf 3400 Defense has really stepped up their game
DST Buccaneers TB 3200 Teams playing against 49ers must be considered
DST Patriots NE 2900 Take advantage of Landry Jones
DST Ravens Bal 2800 Jets offense is in the dumps right now
DST Titans Ten 2500 Indy allows sacks

Here is my DraftKings cash game lineup as of today:

QB Matt Ryan Atl 7200
RB DeMarco Murray Ten 7200
RB Devonta Freeman Atl 5900
WR Julio Jones Atl 9200
WR Michael Thomas NO 4700
WR Golden Tate Det 4900
DST Bengals Cin 3600
TE Hunter Henry SD 3600
RB Mike Gillislee Buf 3000
      49300

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