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Monday 22nd May 2017

Week 6 features only two teams on byes (Vikings and Bucs). The pricing on Steelers players is going through the roof, and rightly so. But I would be a little nervous overplaying them on the road, even against the lowly Dolphins. Tom Brady debuted and posted great stats, but spread the ball around (five players caught between four and six passes), making it difficult to single out anyone for DFS play. The high-end running backs continue to post very high floors and the cheaper backs are harder and harder to find.

Certainly Brees and Brady are attractive quarterback options, but there are several viable options in the mid-tier range that allow you to pay up in other areas.

QB Drew Brees NO 7900 Panthers defense not what is used to be
QB Tom Brady NE 7700 Worry about a second week letdown
QB Derek Carr Oak 6500 Playing at another level
QB Blake Bortles Jax 6300 Nice matchup after a week off
QB Marcus Mariota Ten 6100 Worry about running away with a lead
QB Brian Hoyer Chi 5800 Underpriced solid performer in good matchup

On the surface, the smart cash game play has to include one of the top four running backs. Unfortunately, it is near impossible to be happy with your lineup trying to squeeze two into your lineup. The other four appear to be solid options for either high volume or a good reception floor.

RB Le'Veon Bell Pit 7900 No timeshare in Pittsburgh
RB DeMarco Murray Ten 7700 High volume guarantee but the price is big
RB Ezekiel Elliott Dal 7000 Earning every bit of the first round money
RB LeSean McCoy Buf 6900 Another high volume guarantee
RB Mark Ingram NO 6000 Next level down - if Jacquizz Rodgers can run for 100…
RB Devonta Freeman Atl 5600 Timeshare is getting the job done
RB Theo Riddick Det 5300 Gets the receptions but not the guaranteed volume
RB Carlos Hyde SF 5100 Sneaky underpriced RB has been productive

While there are several high-end wide receivers that appear to be in great matchups, there is a ton of value in several of the lower-end players. Both Cole Beasley and Michael Thomas are solid plays to post 3-4x their price, right where I want to be in cash games.

WR Antonio Brown Pit 10000 First player to hit $10k this year. Tough to earn 3x
WR T.Y. Hilton Ind 7700 At least 10 targets in every game
WR Amari Cooper Oak 7500 Better than Crabtree everywhere but the end zone
WR DeAndre Hopkins Hou 7500 Gets back on track against bad Colts defense
WR Jarvis Landry Mia 6800 Too good to throw up two stinkers in a row
WR Chris Hogan NE 4600 Cheap option in play with Brady back
WR Cole Beasley Dal 4400 Must consider every week due to nice floor
WR Michael Thomas NO 4300 Might he be the best in New Orleans?
WR Cameron Meredith Chi 4100 Missed him last week - might be more than one hit wonder

Tight end looks like a land mine this week. Olsen posted a great number on Monday night and it could have been more. But it is hard to get him in with two upper end running backs. Gronk and Reed both have the potential for big numbers and come with high risk that make them more of a GPP play (Gronk’s targets and Reed’s concussion). I still like Ertz even after being burned last week.

TE Greg Olsen Car 7000 Worth the price especially if Anderson starts again
TE Rob Gronkowski NE 6700 Lost the TDs to Bennett last week
TE Jordan Reed Was 6100 Surging the past two weeks - watch the concussion
TE Zach Ertz Phi 4000 Disappointed in return, but ready to roll
TE Coby Fleener NO 3500 Inconsistent but very cheap on high-powered offense

A handful of defenses have attractive home games this week.

DST Bills Buf 3700 Bills defense playing great - 1st look at Kaepernick
DST Steelers Pit 3400 What kills Tannehill first - sacks or turnovers?
DST Titans Ten 3300 Must consider anyone against Cleveland
DST Lions Det 3000 Home favorite against a marginal offense
DST Texans Hou 2900 Bad since loss of J.J. - Colts allow sacks at rapid rate

Here is my DraftKings cash game lineup as of today:

QB Brian Hoyer Chi 5800
RB Mark Ingram NO 6000
RB DeMarco Murray Ten 7700
WR T.Y. Hilton Ind 7700
WR Jarvis Landry Mia 6800
WR Cole Beasley Dal 4400
TE Zach Ertz Phi 4000
DST Titans Ten 3300
WR Michael Thomas NO 4300
      50000

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