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Sunday 23rd Apr 2017

Week 5 features four teams on byes (Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks and Saints) and the return of Tom Brady. Sorry for being a little short on the commentary, but I've been busy getting ready for Hurricane Matthew (so don’t look for me to promote anyone named Matthew).

Using Tom Brady seems too easy. There are a lot of quarterbacks in the mid-price range with good matchups.

QB Tom Brady NE 7500 Would anyone be surprised if Brady threw for 400 and 6 TDs?
QB Andrew Luck Ind 7300 Limited ground game and bad defense leads to the pass
QB Ben Roethlisberger Pit 7200 Thrived with Bell back as a weapon
QB Philip Rivers SD 6900 Another good matchup for Rivers
QB Derek Carr Oak 6800 Carr is moving up with the elite level quarterbacks
QB Carson Wentz Phi 6400 Continues to defy the odds as a rookie
QB Eli Manning NYG 6000 A much better scoring matchup than Monday
QB Brian Hoyer Chi 5500 Might he keep Cutler on the bench?

The cheap running back options are becoming hard to find. And some of the running backs that we have to pay up for don’t have a very long track record of success.

RB Le'Veon Bell Pit 7500 Made a triumphant return on Sunday night
RB DeMarco Murray Ten 7200 Been getting it done for Tenn.  The Dolphins defense has been bad
RB Melvin Gordon SD 7000 Fumbles are concern, making up for the lack of TDs from last season
RB C.J. Anderson Den 6900 Falcons defense has not been exactly stout
RB Ezekiel Elliott Dal 6800 Getting the job done.  Loses TD carries to Morris
RB LeSean McCoy Buf 6600 Bills best weapon plays almost every down
RB Jordan Howard Chi 5200 26 touches in first start
RB Darren Sproles Phi 4300 Getting more playing time than expected
RB Kenneth Dixon Bal 3600 Expected to make his pro debut

The high-end receivers have posted some contest winning scores, but their success is far from consistent. Odell could be next for a big number, but he can only be a GPP play given his poor performance so far.

 

WR Antonio Brown Pit 9800 Automatic, but how high is too expensive
WR A.J. Green Cin 8900 Could have beat Julio's numbers if game was close
WR Odell Beckham Jr. NYG 8500 The frustration is building - is a huge game coming?
WR Jordy Nelson GB 7900 Been surprisingly good and continues to get scoring targets
WR T.Y. Hilton Ind 7400 Taking advantage of Moncrief's injury
WR Brandon Marshall NYJ 7100 Top man with Decker expected to be out again
WR Jarvis Landry Mia 7000 Pretty darn automatic - scoring a TD is a bonus
WR Julian Edelman NE 6700 Will be interesting to see how the receivers do with Brady
WR Terrelle Pryor Sr. Cle 5800 Tough matchup and starting to get pricy
WR Sterling Shepard NYG 5500 Playing better than Beckham right now
WR Cole Beasley Dal 4300 Still cheap and still a top target
WR Brice Butler Dal 3500 Only a GPP consideration if Bryant is out again

Not very many reasonable tight end choices. Fortunately, several of the more interesting options are still very cheap.

 

TE Jordan Reed Was 6600 Finally proved his worth last weekend
TE Jason Witten Dal 4400 One of several Dak safety blankets
TE Zach Miller Chi 3600 Strong cheap option with Bears lacking other targets
TE Zach Ertz Phi 3500 Expected to return on Sunday
TE Hunter Henry SD 3300 Good choice if Gates misses more time

Only a few defenses hit the mark for Week 5. 

 

DST Patriots NE 3700 Not many great defensive choices on paper.  Patriots might be best
DST Steelers Pit 3500 Fitzpatrick has been an interception throwing machine
DST Bills Buf 3100 Firing the offense coordinator inspired the defense
DST Eagles Phi 2900 Takes advantage of Stafford mistakes

Here is my DraftKings cash game lineup as of today:

QB Philip Rivers SD 6900
RB Le'Veon Bell Pit 7500
RB Jordan Howard Chi 5200
WR Jarvis Landry Mia 7000
WR Sterling Shepard NYG 5500
WR Cole Beasley Dal 4300
DST Eagles Phi 2900
TE Zach Miller Chi 3600
WR Brandon Marshall NYJ 7100
      50000

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