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Wednesday 18th Oct 2017

Week 4 features the first teams on byes (Eagles and Packers) and a London game (Colts-Jaguars) that is off the regular Sunday DraftKings slate.

The solid fantasy quarterbacks are starting to sort themselves out. Cam has to remain a consideration even after the dud against the Vikings. This might be the last week of 2016 to get Drew Brees for under $8,000. The Saints defense is just plain bad leading to Brees playing from behind all the time.

QB Cam Newton Car 7800 Rebounds nicely in potential shootout
QB Drew Brees NO 7600 Bad Saints defense leads to big days from Brees
QB Matthew Stafford Det 7300 No running game means big passing attempts
QB Philip Rivers SD 6900 Anyone against the Saints
QB Kirk Cousins Was 6500 Starting to heat up - blowout probable
QB Trevor Siemian Den 5400 Still very cheap

There is an extended list of running back options in Week 4. The main objective with running backs is to try and pick two that will not get injured. There are some solid matchups for the high-priced guys and interesting opportunities for a couple of low-priced players.

RB David Johnson Ari 7800 Plays just about every down
RB Le'Veon Bell Pit 7500 Have to expect high usage in return
RB Ezekiel Elliott Dal 6900 Cowboys may force the run against weak SF
RB DeMarco Murray Ten 6800 Has been solid in passing game
RB LeSean McCoy Buf 6700 Excellent all around so far - continues bump without Watkins
RB Melvin Gordon SD 6300 Tough to trust, but is the main option and is still priced fair
RB Christine Michael Sea 6000 Finally got all the carries (before the rout)
RB Charles Sims TB 5600 Main man still priced down
RB Jordan Howard Chi 3700 Gains starting job with Langford injury

Every so often we get a dud from a solid receiver as we did last week from Kelvin Benjamin. Expect a big rebound in Week 4 (and expect low ownership with people falsely scared away). Players like Crowder and Beasley are proving to be consistent cheap options.

WR Antonio Brown Pit 9700 Expensive but very high floor
WR DeAndre Hopkins Hou 8400 Due for big return after being shut down by NE
WR Marvin Jones Jr. Det 7300 Highest scoring receiver stays on list until he is priced right
WR Kelvin Benjamin Car 7100 Rebounds off zero - should be very low ownership
WR Mike Evans TB 6500 Every bit the beast that many expected so far
WR Jeremy Maclin KC 6000 A risk because KC is run-first, but expected high-scoring Sunday night
WR Quincy Enunwa NYJ 4400 Low price consideration if Decker is out
WR Terrelle Pryor Sr. Cle 4300 Might have the highest ownership percentage in Week 4
WR Jamison Crowder Was 4200 Has been solid contributor in 2016
WR Cole Beasley Dal 3900 Dak's security blanket - pencil in 6 for 60
WR Michael Thomas NO 3800 Low price consideration if Snead is still out

Tight End has proven to be a mine field early in the season, so they all remain very fairly priced. Jordan Reed has been an early-season disappointment but appears to be in a great spot to explode in Week 4.

TE Jordan Reed Was 6300 Top option, even after disappointing Week 3
TE Greg Olsen Car 6000 Continues to see consistent targets
TE Travis Kelce KC 4800 Should be up and down the field
TE Dennis Pitta Bal 3900 Flacco's favorite target still cheap
TE Hunter Henry SD 2700 Great cheap spot if Gates is out again
TE Zach Miller Chi 2700 Best receiving option on the Bears

A couple of big home favorites pop up on the list this week in the Cardinals and Redskins. While I usually pay down for defense, I may have to move to Arizona just based on the matchup.

DST Cardinals Ari 3900 Rams one-dimensional offense is easy to contain
DST Seahawks Sea 3800 Against a QB that just threw six picks
DST Redskins Was 3500 Browns offense does not intimidate
DST Texans Hou 3200 Even without JJ, Tenn has been an offensive mess
DST Lions Det 3100 Not much of a defense, but great matchup

Last week, I made no changes to my posted lineup and cashed 100% of my double-ups and most of my triple-ups. This was in spite of taking zero from Kelvin Benjamin. That just re-emphasized the cash game strategy of loading up on players that should see high target numbers across the board. Even if one turns into a bum for a week, you can still post a solid score.

I am weighing two potential lineups (predominantly in DraftKings cash games) as of this writing:

QB Kirk Cousins Was 6500
RB Jordan Howard Chi 3700
RB David Johnson Ari 7800
WR Cole Beasley Dal 3900
WR Kelvin Benjamin Car 7100
WR Mike Evans TB 6500
TE Jordan Reed Was 6300
DST Cardinals Ari 3900
WR Jamison Crowder Was 4200
QB Drew Brees NO 7600
RB Jordan Howard Chi 3700
RB David Johnson Ari 7800
WR Antonio Brown Pit 9700
WR Jeremy Maclin KC 6000
WR Terrelle Pryor Sr. Cle 4300
TE Hunter Henry SD 2700
DST Texans Hou 3200
WR Jamison Crowder Was 4200

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