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Monday 16th Oct 2017

Week 2 was a tough one for running backs. Many of us (me included) saw our cash game chances blow up with Danny Woodhead’s blown ACL. Many other running backs bit the dust last week, creating some intriguing low-priced RB options in Week 3.

So the Brees-Manning matchup turned into a bust. This week’s “no-brainer” goes to Luck vs. Rivers with the highest game total on the regular slate. The high priced quarterbacks are easy to fit into lineups with value all across the board.

QB Cam Newton Car 7800 Must always be considered - all offense runs thru him
QB Andrew Luck Ind 7600 Indy defense is proving to be as bad as advertised
QB Carson Palmer Ari 7200 Potent offense with many receiving options
QB Eli Manning NYG 7000 Had two TDs dropped by OBJ vs Saints
QB Matthew Stafford Det 6800 Not much of a running game
QB Philip Rivers SD 6700 Highest total on the board

Must find running backs that can make it through the game. That proved tough in Week 2. The last four on the list below all saw their values rise for Week 3 with injuries to the other back. Johnson and DeAngelo clearly lead the way. Murray has the added benefit of playing against a disappointing Raiders defense.

RB David Johnson Ari 7700 Guaranteed 20 touches
RB DeAngelo Williams Pit 7500 Panthers kept the wrong back
RB DeMarco Murray Ten 6300 Consistent receiving threat
RB Melvin Gordon SD 5800 Should see all the touches with Woodhead out
RB Theo Riddick Det 4900 Will be a fantasy star if he can handle the load
RB Charles Sims TB 4900 Tough matchup vs. Rams but is the main man
RB Fozzy Whittaker Car 3800 Top dog will finally have a real chance

Antonio Brown rarely disappoints as he did last week, so expect a big rebound against the Eagles. After a couple of weeks we start to get a good sense of which receivers are in good positions for big targets (and we know that higher targets usually translate to more receptions).


WR Antonio Brown Pit 9600 Quiet last week - that won't last
WR Kelvin Benjamin Car 7200 Still underpriced
WR Jarvis Landry Mia 6600 At least 10 targets with Foster out
WR Marvin Jones Jr. Det 6200 Has hit it off well with Stafford
WR Sterling Shepard NYG 5500 Norman expected to shadow OBJ
WR Travis Benjamin SD 5200 Heavily underpriced after recent volume
WR Stefon Diggs Min 5100 Prices did not have enough time to account for Sunday night
WR Quincy Enunwa NYJ 4800 Heavily involved in Jets offense - up if Marshall is out
WR Jamison Crowder Was 3800 Cheap source of targets - up more if Jackson is out
WR Cole Beasley Dal 3200 Continues to be Dak's security blanket

The pricing on the upper-tier of tight ends is still very reasonable. In a week where there is a ton of value at RB and WR, you can easily justify Jordan Reed or Greg Olsen. But it will be hard to pass up Dennis Pitta after the volume he saw in Week 2. One of my hidden gems, Trey Burton, made the big-time on Monday night filling in for Zach Ertz. Tough to believe how both Burton and Reed were misused together just a few years ago as Florida Gators.


TE Jordan Reed Was 6500 Top tight ends are underpriced
TE Greg Olsen Car 5800 Cam targets two people
TE Dennis Pitta Bal 3400 Cheap with great rapport with Flacco
TE Clive Walford Oak 2800 Near min price - involved in Raider offense
TE Trey Burton Phi 2500 Worthy of consideration if Ertz is out as min price

Defensive scoring was up in Week 2, with the pre-season projected top defenses rising to the occasion. There are some big home favorites to strongly consider this week.


DST Seahawks Sea 4100 At home vs. sub-par offense
DST Panthers Car 3800 Panthers should be able to pressure Bradford
DST Cardinals Ari 3600 Bills just fired their offensive coordinator
DST Dolphins Mia 3000 Browns on third QB already
DST Jets NYJ 2900 Jets control ball on ground and pressue Smith
DST Browns Cle 2300 Dolphins commit mistakes - even against Cleveland

My projected lineup (predominantly in DraftKings cash games) as of this writing:

DST Dolphins Mia 3000
QB Eli Manning NYG 7000
RB DeMarco Murray Ten 6300
RB David Johnson Ari 7700
TE Dennis Pitta Bal 3400
WR Kelvin Benjamin Car 7200
WR Sterling Shepard NYG 5500
WR Jarvis Landry Mia 6600
WR Cole Beasley Dal 3200

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