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Friday 20th Oct 2017

Happy Thanksgiving! The good news is the byes are over! However, due to the extended Turkey Day slate, we're still working with less than the full complement of games. We're also at the time of the year where the elements can come into play. There have been a lot of studies done with respect to how weather impacts scoring and the overwhelming factor is wind. Unless the rain, snow or cold is extreme, the influence is minimial. However, once wind is in the picture, scoring goes down. This may afford the ability to get exposure to a player not many will risk or perhaps stay on a cash game play that others needlessly avoid.

Carson Palmer Ari 7100 Up $400 but is playing at an elite level.  At least 3 TD in 7 of 10 games
Philip Rivers SD 6700 Offensive line issues finally taking their toll
Ben Roethlisberger Pit 6700 Seahawks defense is not what it used to be
Eli Manning NYG 6500 Don’t totally trust him.  But no running game and against weak Redskins D
Derek Carr Oak 6300 Burned plenty of players last week.  Goes against weak Tenn defense
Blake Bortles Jax 5900 Gets the porous Chargers defense at home
Jameis Winston TB 5500 Last week was an anomaly, but a sign of great potential
Kirk Cousins Was 5400 Shoot-out vs. bad Giants defense expected
Brock Osweiler Den 5300 Passes first test with acceptable numbers.  Bigger challenge this week
Todd Gurley StL 7500 Even the bad games are not terrible
Adrian Peterson Min 7300 NFL rushing leader, but with limited receptions
Mark Ingram NO 6400 Been trending wrong direction and a victim of Saints falling behind early
Doug Martin TB 5800 Light on touchdowns but big on yardage
DeAngelo Williams Pit 5700 Not scared off by the Seahawks
Charcandrick West KC 5300 Big price jump.  Hamstring is a concern
T.J. Yeldon Jax 4800 Double digit carries every game and at least three grabs in 6 of 9
Javorius Allen Bal 4600 Gets the full load at running back
Thomas Rawls Sea 4500 Paid dividends to those who made a late change last week
Ronnie Hillman Den 4000 Broncos will need to run to stay in the game
Spencer Ware KC 3800 Great value if West is out.  Reid sticks with one guy
Ahmad Bradshaw Ind 3600 Almost a must-play if Gore is out
Julio Jones Atl 9400 Must do a lot to earn 3x.  But still has a high floor
DeAndre Hopkins Hou 9100 Beat Revis.  Now gets the Saints non-existent pass defense
Antonio Brown Pit 8700 Was match-up proof in the past
Odell Beckham Jr. NYG 8700 Still worry about an early hamstring exit
Larry Fitzgerald Ari 7400 Under five catches only once this season
Allen Robinson Jax 7300 Great matchup with very high floor
Brandon Marshall NYJ 6800 TDs in 7 of 10.
Michael Crabtree Oak 6400 Raiders threw an unexpected dud last week
Eric Decker NYJ 5800 At least 11.7 in every game.  That is 2x
Allen Hurns Jax 5800 Not sure about ability to play thru injury.  Ineffective in last game
Martavis Bryant Pit 5600 GPP big play ability
Kamar Aiken Bal 4900 Very cheap with solid 2x floor as number one receiver
Stefon Diggs Min 4800 Rebounds off two duds.  Not enough passing volume to feel safe
Steve Johnson SD 4500 Big price jump, but is now Chargers number one receiver
Willie Snead NO 4500 Can you trust him coming off a zero game?
Brandon LaFell NE 4300 Not a lot of Patriots receivers still standing
Tyler Eifert Cin 5800 Very touchdown dependent
Delanie Walker Ten 5400 At least three receptions in every game
Jordan Reed Was 5100 Nice match-up against Giants team that cant cover tight ends
Gary Barnidge Cle 4800 Feel much better with McCown
Antonio Gates SD 4700 No real explanation for last week
Travis Kelce KC 4700 Overturned TD call hurt last week
Ben Watson NO 4000 At least three receptions in every game except one
Austin Seferian-Jenkins TB 2500 Will he finally return?  When he does, $2500 will be one week bargain
Cardinals Ari 3900 Only downside is game on the road
Seahawks Sea 3800 Not a huge fan tis week, but they are the Seahawks
Patriots NE 3500 Might get the inexperienced QB to make mistakes
Jets NYJ 3200 Disappointed last week vs. Texans backup QB
Bengals Cin 3000 If they stop Gurley, they stop the Rams
Chiefs KC 2800 Defense has been coming on lately.  16 sacks and 12 picks in past 5 games

MY CURRENT LINEUP (though I'll review once more injury news is available since I have lots of cap wiggle room)

Carson Palmer QB Ari $7,100
Thomas Rawls RB Sea $4,500
Javorius Allen RB Bal $4,600
Kamar Aiken WR Bal $4,900
Allen Robinson WR Jax $7,300
Larry Fitzgerald WR Ari $7,400
Jordan Reed TE Was $5,100
Steve Johnson FL SD $4,500
Cardinals DST Ari $3,900


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