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Tuesday 28th Mar 2017

Week 3 was an exceptionally high-scoring week as it took 301 points to bring down the $1.2M big prize and a score of 175 to cash most of the 50/50’s. I know about the 175 because I was sweating out the end of the Monday night game sitting at 175.6 with no players. I watched the standings as my teams fell to a smidgen above the cut line on most and just below on a few.

I expect the scoring to drop back to a little closer to normal in Week 4 as the high-scoring Patriots are on a bye (along with the Titans) and the Steelers play on Thursday without Ben Roethlisberger. Unless you play in contests that start on Thursday, we have the Dolphins, Jets and Ravens out of the player pool with the Ravens on Thursday and the Dolphins-Jets playing an early morning Sunday game from London.

QUARTERBACK
Aaron Rodgers GB 7900 Pay up for the high-floor and the high-ceiling built in one
Andrew Luck Ind 7800 Still trying to get it sorted out.  Finish last week could be a start
Cam Newton Car 7000 Posting great numbers with no wide recievers.  Running ability helps
Matt Ryan Atl 6900 As long as Julio is healthy
Carson Palmer Ari 6800 Looks great posting top QB numbers at a discounted price
Andy Dalton Cin 5900 Eight TD passes in three games.  Top QB numbers at mid-range price but hard to trust
Tyrod Taylor Buf 5800 High TD total in limited throws. Rushing points are a bonus
Derek Carr Oak 5300 Cheap option coming off back-to-back 300+ yard passing games
RUNNING BACK
Adrian Peterson Min 7800 Heavy workload has worked well for AP
Jamaal Charles KC 7600 Gets the touches no matter the score
Matt Forte Chi 7100 Bounce-back game against the Raiders
Latavius Murray Oak 6300 Solid 18-20 touches as the Raiders tend to stick with one gun
Mark Ingram NO 6000 16 receptions is a nice unexpected bonus.
Joseph Randle Dal 5500 16-19 touches still at a reasonable price
Carlos Hyde SF 5100 49'ers still trying to get him the ball
Frank Gore Ind 4700 Surprised to not see him involved in the Colts passing attack
Danny Woodhead SD 4600 Everyone has rushing success against the Browns
Matt Jones Was 4500 Expect low ownership after disappointing last Thursday night
Ryan Mathews Phi 3800 If Murray is out again
Lance Dunbar Dal 3600 Strong reception total for very cheap price
Karlos Williams Buf 3400 TD in three straight.  Would be in line for increased touches without McCoy
Theo Riddick Det 3000 Sneaky targets for another very cheap RB
WIDE RECEIVER
Julio Jones Atl 9300 Ride him until you can't afford him.  Getting very expensive
Odell Beckham Jr. NYG 9100 Nice match-up against susceptible Bills secondary
A.J. Green Cin 7600 Big range in targets thru three games.  Bengals passing offense clicking
DeAndre Hopkins Hou 7300 Double digit targets in all three games.  Can't help but post numbers with those chances
Keenan Allen SD 7000 Was week two an anomoly with only four targets?  35 targets in other two games.
T.Y. Hilton Ind 6700 The big Colts offensive break-out game is coming
Jordan Matthews Phi 6600 Only Eagles wide receiver collecting catches
Larry Fitzgerald Ari 6500 Already has 23 receptions and five touchdowns.  Cardinals are rolling
Mike Evans TB 6400 From three targets in week two to 17 targets in week three.  The truth is in between
Amari Cooper Oak 6300 Getting the targets and still a bargain price
Allen Robinson Jax 5500 Another chance for garbage time points
Pierre Garcon Was 5300 Averaging nine targets per game and Eagles defense has shown holes
James Jones GB 5300 Gets a boost if Adams is out
Donte Moncrief Ind 5000 TD in three straight.  26 targets for bargain WR price
Michael Crabtree Oak 4600 The targets are there, but with a low conversion rate
Allen Hurns Jax 3900 Lower-priced GPP target
TIGHT END
Jimmy Graham Sea 6000 Posts good numbers with eight targets, but can he get them every week
Greg Olsen Car 5400 Best receiving option that the Panthers have by far
Travis Kelce KC 5300 Last of the high-floor tight ends
Tyler Eifert Cin 4600 Had a TD reversed last week.  Little consolation if you had him
Martellus Bennett Chi 4500 Tight ends have been blowing up Oakland
Jordan Reed Was 4500 Nice low-cost option, but the in-game injury potential is always high
Jason Witten Dal 4400 Continues to produce good numbers at a cheap price
Kyle Rudolph Min 3200 TD potential makes him a possible low-end play
DEFENSE
Seahawks Sea 3700 Getting it in gear
Cardinals Ari 3400 Hot start, plays another sub-par offense
Broncos Den 3300 Been a solid producer.
Panthers Car 3300 Bolstered their defense this week.  Nice match-up vs. mistake-prone QB
Packers GB 2700 Inexpensive option.  Takes advantage of mistakes

My primary DraftKings lineup (subject to change):

QB Aaron Rodgers $7,900
RB Frank Gore $4,700
RB Carlos Hyde $5,100
WR A.J. Green $7,600
WR T.Y. Hilton $6,700
WR James Jones $5,600
TE Greg Olsen $5,400
FL Lance Dunbar $3,600
DE Seattle Seahawks $3,700

My secondary DraftKings lineup (subject to change):

QB Derek Carr $5,300
RB Jamaal Charles $7,600
RB Karlos Williams $3,400
WR Julio Jones $9,300
WR Amari Cooper $6,300
WR Pierre Garcon $5,300
TE Martellus Bennett $4,500
FL Danny Woodhead $4,600
DE Carolina Panthers $3,300

Comments   

0 #1 Al Geelhaar 2015-10-02 05:04
Some overlap with yours, some differences. GB will be a popular stack.

Rodgers(expecting a similar game to last Packers game)
LMurray (Raiders competitive, nice pts/$)
KWilliams (McCoy very likely out)
Cobb (see Rodgers)
Cooper (see LMurray)
JaJones (see Rodgers and Cobb)
Gore (Colts should win handily and he should get a short TD or two)
Broncos (usually go cheap, but had $ left)
Quote

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