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Wednesday 22nd Nov 2017

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Welcome to "You Look FAABulous", our look at the FAAB reports for Tout Wars and LABR. Normally they will run in one posting first thing Monday morning but due to the timing and length of the first free agent runs, we'll feature each seperately this week.

There are four Tout Wars leagues, a 12-team AL only, 12-team NL only, 15-team Mixed Auction League and 15-team Mixed Draft League. All use on-base-percentage instead of batting average. You can see the complete standings for each league by clicking on the appropriate heading, located just under each player photo.

Tout Wars uses a Vickrey system to award bids. For a complete description of the Vickrey system, click HERE for the Tout Wars constitution.

Included with each league report will be commentary from a Mastersball staff member participating in that league. We invite you to ask questions and post comments at the bottom of the report.

All contingency bids for awarded players are included. Sometimes, this is a bid tied to a player that the owner received, so at times the bid amount is larger than the winning bid. We are including it to provide as much information and context as possible with each report.

 The amount the owner paid is listed in a column followed by the non-adjusted Vickrey bid. The remaining bids for that player are then listed in order of amount. if the amount of an unawarded bid is greater than what was charged, the bid was a contingency bid by that owner and they were awarded a player of higher priority.

Also included is "Todd's Take" where I will share my unique perspective focusing on FAAB strategy, game theory and league dynamics.

 

AMERICAN LEAGUE

mcalister

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

ZMcAllister, Cle 16 Chris Liss 16 Rob Leibowitz 16 Mike Podhorzer 13
Seth Trachtman 8 Jeff Erickson 7 Steve Moyer 6
Andy Behrens 5 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 3 Jason Collette 2
Ron Shandler 1
MCanha, Oak 7 Chris Liss 7 Steve Moyer 6
ERamirez, TB 4 Mike Podhorzer 4 Seth Trachtman 4 Jeff Erickson 3
Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 3 Jason Collette 3 Chris Liss 3
Ron Shandler 1
AWojciechowski, Hou 2 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 3 Jason Collette 1 Chris Liss 1
Ron Shandler 0 Seth Trachtman 0
CCorporan, Tex 1 Larry Schechter 13
JDanks, CWS 1 Jeff Erickson 3 Seth Trachtman 0
MCastro, Tor 1 Jeff Erickson 3 Rob Leibowitz 0
DNava, Bos 1 Steve Moyer 3 Chris Liss 1 Rob Leibowitz 0
JSmolinksi, Tex 1 Chris Liss 5 Steve Moyer 0 Rob Leibowitz 0
NMartinez, Tex 1 Steve Moyer 2 Ron Shandler 0 Seth Trachtman 0
AAlburquerque, Det 1 Andy Behrens 2 Ron Shandler 0 Rob Leibowitz 0
UJimenez, Bal 1 Seth Trachtman 1 Mike Podhorzer 3 Chris Liss 3
Andy Behrens 0
RAlvarez, Oak 1 Ron Shandler 1 Rob Leibowitz 0
TBeckham, TB 1 Jason Collette 2
RoHernandez, Hou 1 Seth Trachtman 1
DValencia, Tor 1 Seth Trachtman 3 Rob Leibowitz 0
ESogard, Oak 1 Chris Liss 5
EKratz, KC 0 Seth Trachtman 0 Larry Schechter 1
EOFlaherty, Oak 0 Steve Moyer 0 Chris Liss 1
CYoung, KC 0 Ron Shandler 0
ZDuke, CWS 0 Chris Liss 4 Ron Shandler 0 Rob Leibowitz 0
Mike Podhorzer 0 Seth Trachtman 0
GBalfour, TB 0 Jason Collette 0 Chris Liss 1
WBloomquist, Sea 0 Seth Trachtman 0
MAndriese, TB 0 Rob Leibowitz 0 Chris Liss 4 Seth Trachtman 0
ENavarro, LAA 0 Rob Leibowitz 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

ROsuna, Tor Chris Liss 3
MAppel, Hou Chris Liss 3
JMurphy, NYY Larry Schechter 1 Seth Trachtman 0
CHerrmann, Min Larry Schechter 1
THunter, Bal Chris Liss 1
LSeverino, NYY Chris Liss 1
LHochevar, KC Chris Liss 1
KKela, Tex Chris Liss 1
JGraham, Min Chris Liss 1
JBerrios, Min Chris Liss 1
RFlaherty, Bal Seth Trachtman 0 Rob Leibowitz 0
SRobinson, Min Steve Moyer 0
CHynes, Tor Steve Moyer 0
MPelfrey, Min Seth Trachtman 0
JSucre, Sea Seth Trachtman 0
EFrieri, TB Ron Shandler 0
CFurbush, Sea Ron Shandler 0
MMorin, LAA Rob Leibowitz 0
JPetricka, CWS Andy Behrens 0

Rob Leibowitz' Commentary

My opening day roster is already a bit of a triage unit with Drew Smyly, Josh Reddick , and Brett Oberholtzer all hitting the disabled list, so my goals are to find fill-I players for that group while of course also looking for the best overall free agents possible. Also Jon Singleton failed to make the opening day roster and I'll have to reserve him too. Kevin Pillar can move over from swing to OF, so that gives me the option of selecting any hitter or a pitcher to fill that slot.

With all that in mind, the class of free agent hitters is already standing out as being full of long-term reserve types with limited upside. Out of all of this, the player getting most of my attention is the Indian's Zach McAllister who won a spring time rotation spot and could, in theory, return to his 2013 form. Otherwise, my targets here are relievers for the remaining spots, so I am targeting relievers with some solid strikeout potential and possible closer-worthy upside.

Finishing ahead of Rotowire's Chris Liss last season cost me McAllister as we tied for the top bid. The consolation price was Matt Andriese who will work out of the Ray's pen after losing out on a (temporary) rotation spot to Erasmo Ramirez

Todd's Take

I'll be perfectly honest, I'm really surprised McAlister made it through the AL auction and 4-man reserve draft. Granted, he struggled in the bigs last season but he had a good spring and was a good bet to secure a rotation spot (though not assured) at the time of the auction. Think about it - ten Touts bid on him once he had the job secured so it wasn't his talent, it was his opportunity. I'll bet many reserve spots were used on players that will never see an active Tout lineup all season. Maybe it's because I've been putting McAlister on a bunch of 15-team, 50 player draft-and-hold teams so I'm more acutely tuned in to his plight.

The enthusiasm displayed for McAlister is a good sign that he's mixed league viable, at least as a streaming candidate.

 

NATIONAL LEAGUE

archiebradley

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

ABradley, Ari 42 Peter Kreutzer 44 Brian Walton 41
Tristan H. Cockcroft 40
Phil Hertz 37 Mike Gianella 30 Ray Guilfoyle 3
TCahill, Atl 27 Phil Hertz 32 Brian Walton 26 Mike Gianella 20
Ray Guilfoyle 3 Tristan H. Cockcroft 1
DBuchanan, Phi 27 Phil Hertz 37 Brian Walton 26
JimJohnson, Atl 5 Mike Gianella 5 Phil Hertz 7 Tristan H. Cockcroft 3
Brian Walton 1
JFrancoeur, Phi 1 Mike Gianella 5 Todd Zola 1 Scott Wilderman 0
JBroxton, Mil 1 Gene McCaffrey 2 Mike Gianella 0
DMcGowan, Phi 1 Peter Kreutzer 9
RYnoa, Col 1 Todd Zola 1 Phil Hertz 3
EStults, Atl 1 Brian Walton 11
JLyles, Col 1 Brian Walton 11
CSpangenberg, SD 1 Scott Wilderman 1 Todd Zola 1
BBoesch, Cin 1 Todd Zola 1
ABastardo, Pit 0 Mike Gianella 0
ACaminero, Pit 0 Brian Walton 0
MDenDekker, Was 0 Scott Wilderman 0 Todd Zola 1

UNAWARDED BIDS

BTreinen, Was Phil Hertz 4
JDiaz, Cin Phil Hertz 3 Gene McCaffrey 0
JDiekman, Phi Phil Hertz 3 Mike Gianella 0
BMaurer, SD Peter Kreutzer 2
HSanchez, SF Todd Zola 1
JArias, SF Todd Zola 1
JPacheco, Ari Todd Zola 1
PRodriguez, LAD Mike Gianella 0 Phil Hertz 0
JNicasio, LAD Phil Hertz 0 Gene McCaffrey 0
ABlanco, Phi Scott Wilderman 0
CHernandez, Phi Scott Wilderman 0
SSchumaker, Cin Scott Wilderman 0
BLogan, Col Phil Hertz 0
TThornburg, Mil Phil Hertz 0
ARamos, Mia Mike Gianella 0
ATorres, NYM Mike Gianella 0
CStammen, Was Mike Gianella 0
JAxford, Col Mike Gianella 0
JDeFratus, Phi Mike Gianella 0
MDunn, Mia Mike Gianella 0
OPerez, Ari Mike Gianella 0

Brian Walton's Commentary

It was The Dominator, the late Dale Earnhardt, who is credited with coining the phrase, "Second place is just the first loser." So I am in National League Tout Wars' first week FAAB race.

The only winning bids of over $5 were for a trio of starting pitchers whose stock has risen considerably since having been passed over in our March 22nd draft. In every case, I made what turned out to be the second-highest offer, which of course simply means that I ended up with none of the three.

The Arizona Diamondbacks were pivotal in setting up the events, trading Trevor Cahill to Atlanta while making rotation room for prospect Archie Bradley. The third in-demand hurler was Philadelphia's David Buchanan, coming off a quiet, but successful 2014 and 2015 spring training.

In aggressive early-season bidding, Bradley went to Rotoman, aka Peter Kreutzer, for $42, while Cahill and Buchanan both are now on the roster of BaseballHQ's Phil Hertz for an identical $27 each. Under the Vickrey bidding rules, Peter's max offer was $45, while Phil was willing to go up to $37 on both his picks.

The only other player to fetch an amount over $1 this week was Jim Johnson of Atlanta. The reliever, who may or may not compete with Jason Grilli for saves following the departure of all-world closer Craig Kimbrel, went for $5 to Baseball Prospectus' Mike Gianella. All of the other Major Leaguers associated with the Kimbrel trade, directly or indirectly, were already rostered in NL Tout, including Melvin Upton Jr., Carlos Quentin, Cameron Maybin and Grilli.

Todd's Take

Embellishing a bit on Brian's analysis, I love it. Kudos to our colleagues Peter, Tristan, Phil and Mike as well Brian. The days of hoarding FAAB units for the July 31 trading deadline should be a thing of the past. Forget about the chance no one comes over from the other league. It's so hard to find replacements in-season and injuries are more prevalent than ever. Nickling and diming roster holes with the cheapest available replacements will likely result in being too far out of it at the trade deadline for a single player to make a winning difference. Spend early and spend often. And in Tout Wars, which used Vickrey, don't be afraid to really loosen the FAAB-strings.

Of course, I went the cheap route this week but there wasn't viable inventory at the positions I needed help.

MIXED LEAGUE AUCTION 

grilli

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

JGrilli, Atl 41 Cory Schwartz 42 Scott Pianowski 40 Joe Pisapia 38
Nando DiFino 37 Derek Van Riper 23 Scott Engel 19
Paul Singman 19 Scott Engel 17 Fred Zinkie 15
Zach Steinhorn 13 Al Melchior 9 Ray Flowers 9
Tim Heaney 7
CMaybin, Atl 15 Zach Steinhorn 15 Nando DiFino 14 Cory Schwartz 12
Ray Flowers 8 Scott Engel 2 Tim Heaney 1
Paul Singman 1
ABradley, Ari 13 Scott Engel 14 Tim Heaney 12 Derek Van Riper 5
Cory Schwartz 1
TCahill, Atl 11 Cory Schwartz 11 Scott Swanay 10
ZMcAllister, Cle 8 Joe Pisapia 11 Al Melchior 7 Fred Zinkie 3
Scott Swanay 2 Cory Schwartz 1
OHerrera, Phi 7 Paul Singman 15 Zach Steinhorn 10 Tim Heaney 6
Ray Flowers 3 Scott Engel 2 Fred Zinkie 0
BBurns, Oak 5 Nando DiFino 8 Scott Engel 4
JimJohnson, Atl 3 Tim Heaney 3 Scott Engel 3
HSantiago, LAA 2 Paul Singman 3 Cory Schwartz 1
ADeSclafani, Cin 2 Scott Swanay 10 Paul Singman 2 Derek Van Riper 1
Cory Schwartz 0 Tim Heaney 0
NKarns, TB 2 Scott Swanay 10 Tim Heaney 2 Scott Engel 1
Cory Schwartz 0
KGibson, Min 2 Ray Flowers 5 Derek Van Riper 1
JLocke, Pit 1 Scott Swanay 2 Scott Pianowski 1 Cory Schwartz 0
JGiavotella, LAA 1 Tim Heaney 1 Fred Zinkie 0
SDrew, NYY 1 Derek Van Riper 3 Ray Flowers 2 Fred Zinkie 0
CCoghlan, ChC 1 Cory Schwartz 2
JHellickson, Ari 1 Scott Swanay 10 Paul Singman 0 Cory Schwartz 0
ERamirez, TB 1 Ray Flowers 4 Cory Schwartz 0
AWarren, NYY 1 Cory Schwartz 11 Scott Swanay 8 Tim Heaney 3
CAsche, Phi 1 Scott Swanay 10 Cory Schwartz 7
JGomes, Atl 1 Scott Swanay 10
OInfante, KC 0 Fred Zinkie 0 Cory Schwartz 0
TMilone, Min 0 Cory Schwartz 0
TFlowers, CWS 0 Cory Schwartz 0 Ray Flowers 0
JFamilia, NYM 0 Scott Engel 0
MCastro, Tor 0 Paul Singman 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

CMcGehee, SF Scott Swanay 10 Ray Flowers 2
JSmoak, Tor Scott Swanay 10 Ray Flowers 3
JPeralta, LAD Cory Schwartz 8 Tim Heaney 3
TKoehler, Mia Scott Swanay 8
RMontero, NYM Joe Pisapia 5 Scott Engel 3 Ray Flowers 1
CGentry, Oak Scott Swanay 5 Cory Schwartz 1
JMercer, Pit Scott Swanay 5 Cory Schwartz 0
SFuld, Oak Scott Swanay 5 Paul Singman 0
CGillaspie, CWS Scott Swanay 5 Cory Schwartz 0
DLeMahieu, Col Scott Swanay 5
JUribe, LAD Scott Swanay 5
NMartinez, Tex Joe Pisapia 3
NAhmed, Ari Derek Van Riper 3
CHatcher, LAD Tim Heaney 3
JPanik, SF Ray Flowers 2 Fred Zinkie 0
YEscobar, Was Cory Schwartz 2 Derek Van Riper 1
TLincecum, SF Ray Flowers 2
AHechavarria, Mia Derek Van Riper 1
JIglesias, Det Derek Van Riper 1
ZCozart, Cin Derek Van Riper 1
GSizemore, Phi Cory Schwartz 1
CStammen, Was Scott Pianowski 0
JVargas, KC Scott Engel 0
CBethancourt, Atl Ray Flowers 0
ISuzuki, Mia Ray Flowers 0
TGosewisch, Ari Ray Flowers 0
ASimon, Det Paul Singman 0
ChJohnson, Atl Cory Schwartz 0
LForsythe, TB Cory Schwartz 0

Zach Steinhorn's Commentary

When it comes to FAAB strategy, I've always been an advocate of not being afraid to spend early in the season, as the earlier you acquire a player who you think will considerably help your team, the more time that player has to make a positive contribution. Judging from these results, it's safe to say that Cory Schwartz agrees with this philosophy, though I can't imagine that he expected to pay a Vickrey adjusted price of $41 for Jason Grilli upon entering his bid of $43. At the time of the FAAB run, it was unclear who the closer would be in Atlanta following the Craig Kimbrel trade, with Grilli being the most likely option but Jim Johnson also in the mix. But on Monday, the team officially named Grilli their closer, so it's entirely possible that the 41 FAAB bucks will translate to 30 saves. Or it's also possible that Grilli, who lost the Pirates closing gig to Mark Melancon last season, blows enough save opportunities for the Braves that they will turn to Johnson. Such is the risk of chasing saves!

Another fallout from Sunday's Padres-Braves swap is that it sounds like Cameron Maybin, who has so far failed to live up to his top prospect billing, will get another opportunity to play every day, this time for a rebuilding Braves squad. I had actually been in trade discussions to upgrade my speed when news broke of this deal, so when the fantasy trade talks fell through, I immediately identified Maybin as a guy worth adding. Sure, he carries plenty of risk, but it's not like the Braves have a plethora of appealing outfield alternatives, and Maybin did swipe a combined 66 bags from 2011-2012 as a full-timer for the Padres. I'm hoping he can hit enough and stay healthy enough to remain in the Atlanta lineup for the entire season and maybe chip in 25 steals.

Todd's Take

I know saves is saves but they do come with a little collateral damage, As such, in mixers I prefer to leave the auction or draft with my intended closers. Thus in my mixed leagues, I didn't make a strong play for the new Braves' closer. Had I needed more saves, Grilli's history is such that I likely would have made a play so I'm not surprised 13 of the 15 league members here were in on the bidding. Of particular note is Derek Van Riper won this league last season while punting saves. He avoided closers again at the auction but his bid for Grilli suggests he's willing to looks for saves in-season.

Something I like to do is use the losing bids to get a feel for what each owner may want to complete their team. If I have an excess in that area, perhaps we can swing an early season deal that helps both of us. Maybe I'm wrong, but Scott Pianowski, Joe Pisapia, Nando Difino and Derek Van Riper all made string bids for Grilli, so it stands to reason they're in the market for a closer. If I felt I could part with some saves, I'd be looking at their rosters (including reserves) to see if they could help me fortify a weakness. Similarly, anyone that bid on Maybin or Odubel Herrera could be looking for speed.

MIXED LEAGUE DRAFT

maybin

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

JGrilli, Atl 17 Tim McLeod 27 Adam Ronis 16 Eno Sarris 13
Ray Murphy 11 Charlie Wiegert 7 Rudy Gamble 4
Anthony Perri 4 Grey Albright 2
CMaybin, Atl 17 Paul Greco 21 Grey Albright 16
MJohnson, CWS 8 Charlie Wiegert 19 Perry Van Hook 7 Anthony Perri 6
Grey Albright 5 Rudy Gamble 3 Adam Ronis 2
KGraveman, Oak 7 Charlie Wiegert 10 Tim McLeod 8 Adam Ronis 6
Perry Van Hook 5 Ray Murphy 3 Anthony Perri 3
Eno Sarris 1 Rudy Gamble 1
FCervelli, Pit 6 Tim McLeod 9 Rick Wilton 5 Adam Ronis 1
ZMcAllister, Cle 4 Charlie Wiegert 9 Eno Sarris 4 Ray Murphy 3
Adam Ronis 1
NKarns, TB 4 Charlie Wiegert 9 Ray Murphy 3 Eno Sarris 1
Rudy Gamble 1
BMorrow, SD 3 Rudy Gamble 3 Grey Albright 3 Adam Ronis 2
CAsche, Phi 1 Tim McLeod 6
AWarren, NYY 1 Ray Murphy 3 Grey Albright 3 Perry Van Hook 2
Eno Sarris 2 Charlie Wiegert 0
JHellickson, Ari 1 Ray Murphy 3
DGee, NYM 1 Ray Murphy 3 Rudy Gamble 1 Charlie Wiegert 0
OHerrera, Phi 1 Grey Albright 3 Perry Van Hook 2 Rudy Gamble 1
EMujica, Bos 1 Charlie Wiegert 9 Perry Van Hook 4 Grey Albright 3
Rudy Gamble 2
BBurns, Oak 1 Charlie Wiegert 7 Rudy Gamble 1
JMercer, Pit 1 Anthony Perri 1 Charlie Wiegert 5 Adam Ronis 0
JDeLaRosa, Col 1 Anthony Perri 2
JUribe, LAD 1 Anthony Perri 2
CQuentin, Atl 1 Anthony Perri 4
JPeterson, Atl 1 Adam Ronis 2 Charlie Wiegert 15
DTravis, Tor 1 Perry Van Hook 4 Charlie Wiegert 2
JMarisnick, Hou 1 Perry Van Hook 1 Charlie Wiegert 2
RIglesias, Cin 1 Grey Albright 3
BColon, NYM 0 Adam Ronis 0 Rudy Gamble 1 Charlie Wiegert 0
RHanigan, Bos 0 Adam Ronis 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

DLeMahieu, Col Charlie Wiegert 5
MDuffy, SF Charlie Wiegert 5
ChJohnson, Atl Anthony Perri 4
JGiavotella, LAA Charlie Wiegert 3 Perry Van Hook 2
JPanik, SF Charlie Wiegert 3 Anthony Perri 0
MOlt, ChC Grey Albright 3
JSmolinksi, Tex Charlie Wiegert 3
NSwisher, Cle Charlie Wiegert 3
JSchoop, Bal Anthony Perri 2
JimJohnson, Atl Grey Albright 2
JLocke, Pit Perry Van Hook 2
DFreese, LAA Charlie Wiegert 2
NAhmed, Ari Charlie Wiegert 2
MCastro, Tor Tim McLeod 1
ERamirez, TB Rudy Gamble 1
CGentry, Oak Perry Van Hook 1
JLoney, TB Anthony Perri 1
DBuchanan, Phi Eno Sarris 1
ARussell, ChC Charlie Wiegert 1
CCorrea, Hou Charlie Wiegert 1
JChavez, Oak Anthony Perri 0 Charlie Wiegert 0
AHarang, Phi Charlie Wiegert 0
EStults, Atl Charlie Wiegert 0
MBuehrle, Tor Charlie Wiegert 0
RMontero, NYM Anthony Perri 0
CCoghlan, ChC Adam Ronis 0
MMcKenry, Col Adam Ronis 0

Perry Van Hook's Commentary

Like the other TOUT leagues this bidding was Sunday night so the girl with the most dance tickets was new Atlanta Braves closer Jason Grilli who went for a Vickrey reduced $17 to defending champion Tim McLeod whose bid was $27.

New White Sox second baseman and threat to lead the AL in stolen bases (if he can keep the job) Micah Johnson was the next highest winning bid at $8 - one dollar more than my $7 try. As a nice consolation prize I got new Toronto second baseman Devon Travis for $1 on a four dollar bid. I also snagged temporary (?) Red Sox closer Edward Mujica and Houston center fielder Jake Marisnick for a dollar each.

The only other players that went for more than a dollar were Oakland starting pitcher (and the surprise star of the Cactus League) Kendall Graveman - $7 to Charlie Weigert; and Pittsburgh catcher Francisco Cervelli for $6 to McLeod.

Todd's Take

I could be all wet here but the diligence one puts into their bids and contingencies could be a reflection of the competitor's temperament and may help when it comes to scheming trade discussions. To be perfectly frank, I really like OnRoto as a service, but their FAAB set-up is a bit cumbersome, especially if you want to string a bunch of secondary bids. I'm not a soothsayer, and I don't want to take too much for granted, but those willing to put the time and effort into a plethora of FAAB bids are likely to be more patient and willing to negotiate in trade talks, Those that put in minimal bids may not be as willing to engage in an extended swap discussion. As such, I'm likely to get right to the point when I propose a trade, I'm not saying tilt an offer in their favor, just saying they likely want to cut out the small talk and get right to "what do you want and what are you offering".

What I DO like about OnRoto is all bids are archived for the league to see so you can get a feel for this over the first few weeks of the campaign.

 

Comments   

0 #1 Michael July 2015-04-09 17:59
Todd, I echo your opinion on OnRoto. We've been using them for a number of years but their FAAB process of entering a streaming list of bids for a player is rather cumbersome. Nonetheless you do get a pretty big bang for your buck. Also found your comments concerning other owner's bids interesting. Will keep that in the back of my mind if/when I propose any trades.
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