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Tuesday 23rd May 2017

 

toutbanner

Each week, your friends at Mastersball will post the results of the weekly Tout Wars FAAB run, featuring the winning bid as well as the runner-up bids. There are four Tout Wars leagues, a 12-team AL only, 12-team NL only, 15-team Mixed Auction League and 15-team Mixed Draft League. The Mixed leagues use on-base-percentage instead of batting average. You can see the complete standings for each league by clicking on the appropriate heading, located just under each player photo.

Tout Wars uses a Vickrey system to award bids. For a complete description of the Vickrey system, click HERE for the Tout Wars constitution.

Included with each league report will be commentary from a Mastersball staff member participating in that league. We invite you to ask questions and post comments at the bottom of the report.

All contingency bids for awarded players are included. Sometimes, this is a bid tied to a player that the owner received, so at times the bid amount is larger than the winning bid. We are including it to provide as much information and context as possible with each report.

*PLEASE NOTE - We have slightly altered the presentation in an effort to help you reconstruct the actual bidding a little better. The amount the owner paid is listed in a column followed by the non-adjusted Vickrey bid. The remaining bids for that player are then listed in order of amount. if the amount of an unawarded bid is greater than what was charged, the bid was a contingency bid by that owner and they were awarded a player of higher priority.

New to the report is "Todd's Take" where Lord Zola will share his unique perspective focusing on FAAB strategy, game theory and league dynamics.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

acraig

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

ACraig, Bos 51 Steve Moyer 58 Joe Sheehan 50 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 35
Mike Podhorzer 34 Ron Shandler 20 Larry Schechter 13
Jeff Erickson 11 Andy Behrens 0 Chris Liss 0
MPrado, NYY 36 Joe Sheehan 38 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 35 Mike Podhorzer 26
Jason Collette 25 Ron Shandler 20 Ron Shandler 15
Larry Schechter 13 Jeff Erickson 11 Andy Behrens 0
JMarisnick, Hou 14 Mike Podhorzer 16 Joe Sheehan 20 Larry Schechter 13
Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 3 Andy Behrens 0
Chris Liss 0
KVargas, Min 14 Ron Shandler 15 Larry Schechter 13 Mike Podhorzer 12
Jeff Erickson 11 Jason Collette 4 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 3
Chris Liss 0
JKelly, Bos 12 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 30 Jeff Erickson 11 Mike Podhorzer 4
Chris Liss 0
CDenorfia, Sea 12 Larry Schechter 13 Jeff Erickson 11 Lawr Michaels 7
Joe Sheehan 7 Mike Podhorzer 5 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 3
Larry Schechter 0 Andy Behrens 0
MCarp, Bos 2 Mike Podhorzer 11 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 1
ECarrera, Det 2 Mike Podhorzer 6 Larry Schechter 6 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 1
ZWalters, Cle 1 Ron Shandler 8
RFlaherty, Bal 1 Jason Collette 2 Larry Schechter 0 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
MKrauss, Hou 1 Jason Collette 1 Larry Schechter 6
CColon, KC 1 Jason Collette 1
JPeralta, TB 1 Joe Sheehan 2
JFrasor, KC 1 Joe Sheehan 1
BPeacock, Hou 1 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 1
JAdduci, Tex 0 Chris Liss 0 Larry Schechter 13
MFoltynewicz, Hou 0 Chris Liss 0
RGoins, Tor 0 Larry Schechter 0 Jason Collette 0 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
CCorporan, Hou 0 Ron Shandler 0
ESogard, Oak 0 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

DKelly, Det Jason Collette 1
ANieto, CWS Ron Shandler 0
ARomine, Det Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
ARosales, Tex Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
CFigueroa, TB Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
DButler, Bos Ron Shandler 0
DRobertson, Tex Larry Schechter 0
EKratz, KC Ron Shandler 0
FAbad, Oak Joe Sheehan 0
GPetit, Hou Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
MSierra, CWS Larry Schechter 0

Rob Leibowitz' Commentary

The Red Sox’s new left fielder drew the most bids this week despite having a sub-par season for the Cardinals. The 30-year old righty has battled some injuries recently and has provided less power and approached the plate more aggressively, increasing his strikeouts and overall rendering him fairly ineffective. The Sox saw enough to give him another chance, but Allen Craig has a rather unforgiving skill. If it is health holding him back, then a rebound is possible but it is also quite possible Craig will be moving into the platoon player stage of his career.

Martin Prado’s career may also be at a crossroads as he shows declining power skills and is increasingly keeping the ball on the ground. The one thing that may keep him in the lineup is his positional versatility though he is likely to find himself on most days when the Yankees face a right-hander.

The Astros have installed former top Blue Jays prospect Jake Marisnick as their everyday center fielder.  The righty is not likely a future star, but plays good enough centerfield, has mid to high teens power potential and 20-plus stolen base speed. His plate approach, however, is suspect and it remains to be seen whether he can even hit righties at the MLB level.

Todd's Take

I thought it would be interesting to cull together all the double-digit bids from the past several weeks in the four single leagues to see how the timing played out. While you can't plan on the same scenarios in either the AL or the NL next season, it is intriguing food for thought when considering how to manage your FAAB next season. Below are the bids, with the cost deducted, the original bid (keep in mind Tout Wars is a Vickrey league) and the date.

Player Cost Bid Date
Jeff Samardzija 77 85 7-Jul
Allen Craig 51 58 4-Aug
Jason Hammel 51 85 7-Jul
Chase Headley 39 65 28-Jul
Martin Prado 36 38 4-Aug
Huston Street 36 74 21-Jul
Brandon McCarthy 16 18 14-Jul
Jake Marisnick 14 16 4-Aug
Kennys Vargas 14 15 4-Aug
Joe Kelly 12 30 4-Aug
Chris Denorfia 12 13 4-Aug
Christian Vazquez 8 17 14-Jul
Shane Greene 6 22 14-Jul
Mike Carp 2 11 4-Aug
Allen Webster 1 15 28-Jul
Chris Taylor 1 14 28-Jul
Danny Santana 1 21 7-Jul

My initial reaction is this is pretty much how I would expect the players to be ordered with the possible exception of Street - which is more a by-product of Vickrey. It will be interesting to compare the order to LABR which isn't a Vickrey league.

NATIONAL LEAGUE

jmasterson

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

JLackey, StL 53 Mike Gianella 66 Steve Gardner 66 Brian Walton 52
Seth Trachtman 51 Phil Hertz 45 Todd Zola 44
Derek Carty 41 Tristan H. Cockcroft 39 Peter Kreutzer 34
Scott Wilderman 32 Gene McCaffrey 25 Lenny Melnick  21
JMasterson, StL 53 Mike Gianella 53 Brian Walton 52 Todd Zola 44
Derek Carty 41 Tristan H. Cockcroft 39 Gene McCaffrey 25
Phil Hertz 22 Seth Trachtman 15 Peter Kreutzer 11
Scott Wilderman 3 Steve Gardner 0
ACabrera, Was 53 Steve Gardner 66 Mike Gianella 53 Brian Walton 52
Derek Carty 41 Tristan H. Cockcroft 39 Peter Kreutzer 27
Gene McCaffrey 25 Mike Gianella 3 Derek Carty 0
JCosart, Mia 30 Derek Carty 41 Tristan H. Cockcroft 29 Gene McCaffrey 25
Phil Hertz 8 Scott Wilderman 6 Peter Kreutzer 4
Mike Gianella 3 Seth Trachtman 3 Steve Gardner 0
MDuffy, SF 10 Todd Zola 11 Gene McCaffrey 9 Seth Trachtman 3
Mike Gianella 2
AnMarte, Ari 8 Tristan H. Cockcroft 8 Seth Trachtman 7 Scott Wilderman 4
Mike Gianella 1 Peter Kreutzer 0
EHernandez, Mia 7 Gene McCaffrey 9 Peter Kreutzer 6 Scott Wilderman 1
Mike Gianella 0 Derek Carty 0
TSnider, Pit 2 Scott Wilderman 2 Mike Gianella 3 Peter Kreutzer 2
AAlmonte, SD 2 Tristan H. Cockcroft 9 Mike Gianella 3 Derek Carty 3
Peter Kreutzer 1 Derek Carty 0
TWatson, Pit 1 Peter Kreutzer 1 Tristan H. Cockcroft 1 Brian Walton 0
KNegron, Cin 1 Mike Gianella 3
CCulberson, Col 1 Peter Kreutzer 2
JSoler, ChC 1 Phil Hertz 2
MDenDekker, NYM 1 Seth Trachtman 1 Phil Hertz 2
RHernandez, Phi 1 Seth Trachtman 1
NAhmed, Ari 0 Mike Gianella 0
CNelson, SD 0 Peter Kreutzer 0 Mike Gianella 0 Derek Carty 0
Seth Trachtman 0
JDiaz, Cin 0 Phil Hertz 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

SSouza, Was Phil Hertz 2
TStauffer, SD Derek Carty 0
SLeCure, Cin Derek Carty 0
MEllis, StL Mike Gianella 0
JPerez, SF Mike Gianella 0
JFrancoeur, SD Scott Wilderman 0
BZiegler, Ari Derek Carty 0
ASusac, SF Mike Gianella 0

Brian Walton's Commentary

All 12 league members got into the action, trying to acquire one or all of the big three players traded into the National League at the deadline – new Cardinals starting pitchers John Lackey and Justin Masterson and Nationals shortstop Asdrubal Cabrera.

In reality, only two players were really players – Mike Gianella and Steve Gardner. With a whopping $56 more in his kitty than Gardner, Gianella was not only assured of getting his pick of the litter, but also the third-best free agent.

Yours truly was next in the FAAB kitty pecking order with $52. I bid my entire amount on all three free agents, which simply led to all three being sold for $53. The two Cardinals went to Gianella with Cabrera going to Gardner's roster.

Of the three, the major uncertainty is with Masterson, who was an all-star last season. 2014 has brought injury, lower velocity and considerably poorer results. The free agent to be should have at least until/if Michael Wacha is ready to return to prove he should remain among the starting five.

Pitcher Jarred Cosart was also on the move, heading from Houston to Miami. The bidding was not as aggressive as for the others, but Derek Carty offered $41, paying $30. Cosart should remain in the Marlins rotation as long as he pitches acceptably.

Todd's Take

Here's the NL data...

Asdrubal Cabrera 53 66 4-Aug
John Lackey 53 66 4-Aug
Justin Masterson 52 53 4-Aug
Jake Peavy 42 56 28-Jul
A.J. Pierzynski 39 67 28-Jul
Yangervis Solarte 34 52 28-Jul
Jarred Cosart 30 41 4-Aug
Joey Votto 26 43 14-Jul
Dan Straily 15 21 7-Jul
Darin Ruf 15 30 28-Jul
Matt Duffy 10 11 4-Aug
George Kottaras 9 12 14-Jul
Grady Sizemore 9 18 14-Jul
Jordany Valdespin 8 18 21-Jul
Trevor Cahill 4 20 14-Jul

Of course, the influx of free agents to the National League was more conventional as opposed to the craziness that was the Junior Circuit but still, the order looks reasonable. It struck me as I was putting the list together that comparing against the available FAAB that week would be the best research but I didn't archive that information. Next season I will.

MIXED LEAGUE AUCTION 

jreddick

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

JReddick, Oak 10 Scott Swanay 62 Scott Pianowski 9 Ray Flowers 9
Tim Heaney 6
YSolarte, SD 7 Scott Pianowski 40 Paul Singman 6 Ray Flowers 5
Ray Flowers 4 Tim Heaney 3 Tim Heaney 2
Paul Singman 1
SMiller, StL 7 Zach Steinhorn 13 Fred Zinkie 6 Scott Pianowski 5
Ray Flowers 5
KVargas, Min 4 Al Melchior 9 Tim Heaney 3
MBuehrle, Tor 3 Fred Zinkie 3 Ray Flowers 2 Tim Heaney 2
LValbuena, ChC 3 Fred Zinkie 4 Tim Heaney 2
TMedica, SD 2 Tim Heaney 2
APierzynski, StL 1 David Gonos 8
TFlowers, CWS 1 Patrick Davitt 1 David Gonos 5
DJeter, NYY 1 Ray Flowers 6 Tim Heaney 1 Scott Pianowski 0
MGonzalez, Bal 1 Ray Flowers 5
BHand, Mia 1 Ray Flowers 3 Fred Zinkie 3 Tim Heaney 1
HSantiago, LAA 1 Tim Heaney 2 Zach Steinhorn 7 Ray Flowers 3
JMarisnick, Hou 1 Ray Flowers 7
JTurner, Mia 1 Patrick Davitt 1
TMay, Min 1 Al Melchior 13
RHernandez, Phi 0 Patrick Davitt 0 Ray Flowers 3 Fred Zinkie 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

WCastillo, ChC Scott Pianowski 9
BNorris, Bal Scott Pianowski 6 Ray Flowers 3
DSantana, Hou Al Melchior 6
CTaylor, Sea Al Melchior 5 Ray Flowers 5 Tim Heaney 1
MAviles, Cle Scott Pianowski 5
YEscobar, TB Ray Flowers 4
DMurphy, Cle Ray Flowers 4
VNuno, Ari Ray Flowers 3 Tim Heaney 1
MCarp, Bos Tim Heaney 2
ARanaudo, Bos Al Melchior 2
DThayer, SD Tim Heaney 2
YPino, Min Ray Flowers 2
JCosart, Mia Ray Flowers 2
JCollmenter, Ari Ray Flowers 2
TMilone, Min Tim Heaney 1
BBoxberger, TB Tim Heaney 1
JGuthrie, KC Patrick Davitt 0
EStults, SD Patrick Davitt 0
CGimenez, Tex Patrick Davitt 0

Zach Steinhorn's Commentary

Since coming off the DL on July 22, Josh Reddick is batting .390 with four homers, seven RBI and ten runs scored. After slugging 32 homers back in 2012, Reddick has been a huge disappointment for two straight seasons now, with injuries being partly to blame. But this recent surge is surely welcome news for those owners who stuck with him. Interestingly enough, Reddick fell victim to the Tout Wars FAAB redemption rule, as he was released while on the DL in exchange for the full refund (based on auction day price). In this league, it's important not to assume that a certain player who is on the real life DL is on the Tout DL just because Tout allows for unlimited DL spots.  

Getting traded to San Diego seems to be the wakeup call that Yangervis Solarte needed, as he's hitting .286 to go along with two home runs, nine RBI and ten runs scored through his first 12 games as a member of the Padres. He's obviously a streaky hitter, so maybe Scott Pianowski can cash in on this hot stretch. Also note that Solarte qualifies at second base, shortstop and third base, which gives him some added appeal.

Searching for a replacement for the injured Henderson Alvarez, I settled on Shelby Miller as my top waiver wire target. In two starts since moving back into the rotation, Miller is 1-0 with a 3.09 ERA and 0.51 WHIP. Remember that this is a guy who won 15 games last season while posting a 3.06 ERA and 1.21 WHIP, and he's only 23. Despite his inconsistent performance in 2014, he certainly has the ability to close out the year looking more like the Shelby Miller of 2013.

Todd's Take

There's really not much to say in terms of game theory and strategy in the mixed leagues this week, those still engaged are filling holes and addressing needs. So instead I'll highlight a couple players I find noteworthy.

Kennys Vargas is an interesting dart to throw. In AL-only, he could be big help whereas in mixed formats it's more of a flier. Vargas should get playing time in Minnesota (even when Joe Mauer returns) so opportunity is there. He was a little old for his minor league level which can skew the numbers but his discipline and contact are pretty good and he has double-digit home run pop.

Tommy Medica is the new Chris Denorfia in San Diego. That is, a player that looks like he's on the wrong side of a platoon but will happen upon more at bats. I don't see a full-time guy but he's definitely worth a flier (and will be a cheap play in daily games for the next few days/weeks until his price catches up).

MIXED LEAGUE DRAFT

leake

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

MLeake, Cin 4 Nicholas Minnix 4 Tim McLeod 4 Scott Engel 3
OArcia, Min 4 Adam Ronis 6 Tim McLeod 3
YSolarte, SD 3 Tom Kessenich 7 Anthony Perri 2 Charlie Wiegert 1
Perry Van Hook 0
TMedica, SD 2 Adam Ronis 6 Charlie Wiegert 1 Anthony Perri 1
Perry Van Hook 0
KVargas, Min 1 Grey Albright 1 Adam Ronis 5
TCahill, Ari 1 Nicholas Minnix 4
JMasterson, StL 1 Nicholas Minnix 4 Ray Murphy 1
TWada, ChC 1 Anthony Perri 2
JTomlin, Cle 1 Ray Murphy 1
EInciarte, Ari 1 Charlie Wiegert 1
SFuld, Oak 1 Charlie Wiegert 3
JPacheco, Ari 1 Tim McLeod 1
BreAnderson, Col 1 Tim McLeod 4
HSantiago, LAA 1 Perry Van Hook 4
RGrossman, Hou 0 Eno Sarris 0
YAlonso, SD 0 Eno Sarris 0
DMurphy, Cle 0 Perry Van Hook 0 Tom Kessenich 4

UNAWARDED BIDS

RRivera, SD Adam Ronis 4 Charlie Wiegert 1
AGose, Tor Tom Kessenich 3
BWorkman, Bos Tim McLeod 1
AnMarte, Ari Ray Murphy 0
VNuno, Ari Eno Sarris 0
WVenable, SD Anthony Perri 0

Perry Van Hook's Commentary

Of course in mixed leagues without crossover players there is much less action at the trading deadline and that was the case in this league.

In fact the high winning bid was $4 by Nick Minnix who in shuffling his pitching staff for the upcoming week had bid four dollars on three different pitchers – Mike Minor who he had to use all four dollars for; Trevor Cahill and Justin Masterson who he won for $1 each on the Vickrey reduced bids.

Yangervis Solarte, former Yankee now Padre, went for $3 to Tom Kessenich of NFBC/Stats reduced from his $7 bid for the versatile infielder.

Good thing Nick and I had different pitchers in mind as I also bid $4 for Hector Santiago and his two start week but won him for just one dollar. Nick would have beaten me on the standings tie-breaker if Santiago had been on his parlay ticket.

Todd's Take

He's not going to hit for power but Jordan Pacheco makes decent contact and with catcher-eligibility, I'm surprised he didn't draw more interest. An increase in at bats was already in store at third base after Martin Prado was traded but now with Paul Goldschmidt out (likely for the duration), Pacheco will also need to break in a first baseman's mitt.

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