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Thursday 23rd Mar 2017

This past weekend, I have been carousing with my mates at the annual BaseballHQ first pitch, in the Valley of the Sun.

As part of my participation this year, I was on a panel that previewed some of the top players participating in the Fall League.

So, as part of what I factored out, I took the 43 players the panel of six reviewed, and crunched their statistics against the formulas I use to create my Top 250 Prospect List (which is due out December 1, and which will be my 15th iteration).

For the archivists, the first list, in 1998, was a Top 100, and if memory serves, names like Rick Ankiel (as a pitcher) and Marcus Giles were among the best.

In completing my ratings, I crunch numbers that look at power (ability to hit for extra bases or earn a strikeout, depending upon position), prowess over the strike zone (walks-to-whiffs for both hitters and pitchers) and level of play relative to age.

While the results are often rhetorical—as in Dylan Bundy was a Top 10 guy last year—often our equations spot players ahead of the curve.

As in Albert Pujols, ranked #10 in 2001 after just one year in the Minors (remember, Pujols only made the Opening Day roster after a strong spring that year due to injuries).

Other notables:

So, while the path of the quintet noted above might well have been the Majors, all five appeared in the year of our ranking them higher than the mainstream.

So, for fun this AFL, I ranked the players the panel as a whole has just reviewed, using the same algorithms I use to determine the yearly Top 250.

A few things to note:

Ratings are based upon the level of play noted. When I do the final Top 250, players must meet these baselines to qualify:

  • Have played at least at Single-A level or above.
  • Have logged at least 200 at-bats at one level for hitters.
  • Have logged at least 70 innings, with a minimum of 70 at one level for pitchers.

The Top 250 will be published next month and is included within the Mastersball.com Platinum Subscription Package.

RANK

NAME

POS

OD AGE

B

T

AFL TEAM

RATING LEAGUE

HR/W

RBI/ WHIP

SB/ SV

OPS/ SO

TOTAL

1

Corey Seager

SS

20

L

R

Glendale

MID

12

57

9

.918

20.88

2

Addison Russell

SS

20

R

R

Mesa

CAL

17

60

21

.885

21.14

3

Byron Buxton

CF

20

R

R

Glendale

FSL

4

22

23

.887

21.64

4

Mookie Betts

2B

21

R

R

Surprise

SAL

8

26

18

.895

21.68

5

Jorge Alfaro

C

21

R

R

Surprise

AZL

2

8

2

1.310

21.91

6

Albert Almora

OF

20

R

R

Mesa

MID

3

23

4

.842

21.96

7

Delino DeShields

OF

22

R

R

Peoria

CAL

5

54

51

.873

22.48

8

Jorge Bonifacio

OF

21

R

R

Peoria

CAR

2

29

0

.776

22.83

9

Kris Bryant

3B

22

R

R

Mesa

NOR

4

16

0

1.108

23.24

10

Austin Hedges

C

22

R

R

Peoria

CAL

4

30

5

.768

23.47

11

Colin Moran

3B

22

L

R

Glendale

SAL

4

23

1

.796

23.50

12

Jorge Soler

OF

22

R

R

Mesa

FSL

8

35

5

.810

23.60

13

Alen Hanson

SS

21

S

R

Scottsdale

FSL

7

48

24

.783

23.94

14

Peter O'Brien

3B

24

R

R

Scottsdale

SAL

11

41

0

1.012

23.94

15

Cheslor Cuthbert

3B

21

R

R

Peoria

TEX

6

28

5

.638

23.97

16

Garin Cecchini

3B

23

L

R

Surprise

EAS

2

28

8

.824

24.30

17

Adalberto Mejia

P

21

L

L

SFG

CAL

7

1.126

87.0

89

24.48

18

Taylor Lindsey

2B

22

L

R

Mesa

TEX

17

56

4

.780

24.58

19

Stephen Piscotty

OF

23

R

R

Salt River

TEX

6

24

7

.810

24.71

20

Tyler Austin

1B

23

R

R

Scottsdale

EAS

6

40

4

.717

24.82

21

Mason Williams

OF

22

L

R

Scottsdale

FSL

6

40

4

.717

24.82

22

Eduardo Rodriguez

P

21

L

L

Surprise

CAR

6

1.21

0

66

24.84

23

Aaron Sanchez

P

22

R

R

Salt River

FSL

4

1.19

0

75

24.95

24

Kyle Crick

P

21

L

R

Scottsdale

CAL

3

1.27

0

95

25.09

25

Brian Goodwin

OF

23

L

R

Mesa

EAS

10

40

19

.762

25.16

26

Tyler Naquin

OF

23

L

R

Surprise

CAR

9

42

14

.769

25.19

27

Eddie Rosario

2B

23

L

R

Glendale

EAS

4

38

7

.742

25.26

28

Jameson Taillon

P

22

R

R

Scottsdale

EAS

4

1.34

0

106

25.47

29

Marcus Stroman

P

23

R

R

Salt River

EAS

9

1.13

0

129

25.47

30

Richie Shaffer

1B

23

R

R

Salt River

FSL

11

73

6

.707

25.55

31

Burch Smith

P

24

R

R

Peoria

PCL

5

1.20

0

65

25.82

32

Kelly Dugan

OF

24

L

R

Peoria

EAS

10

23

0

.771

25.89

33

Jonathan Schoop

SS

22

R

R

Surprise

INT

9

34

1

.697

25.96

34

Andrew Heaney

P

23

L

L

Glendale

FSL

5

1.01

0

66

26.18

35

James Ramsey

OF

24

L

R

Salt River

TEX

15

44

8

.780

26.54

36

C.J. Cron

1B

24

R

R

Mesa

TEX

14

83

8

.747

26.74

37

Mike Montgomery

P

25

L

L

Salt River

INT

7

1.46

0

77

26.75

38

Alex Meyer

P

24

R

R

Glendale

EAS

4

1.27

0

84

26.94

39

Carson Smith

P

24

R

R

Peoria

SOU

1

1.00

15

71

26.95

40

Tyler Matzek

P

23

L

L

Salt River

TEX

8

1.57

0

95

26.95

41

Henry Urrutia

OF

27

L

R

Surprise

EAS

7

37

1

.983

27.98

42

Tommy La Stella

2B

25

L

R

ATL

SOU

2

4

7

0.895

28.27

43

Tommy Medica

1B

26

R

R

Peoria

TEX

18

57

4

.954

29.43

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