|Buster and the Scarcity Scare|
|Bed Goes Up, Bed Goes Down|
|Written by Lawr Michaels|
|Saturday, 02 February 2013 00:00|
About ten days back my mate Todd and I found ourselves drafting 12 of 13 at the Fantasy Sports Trade Association (FSTA) draft, having planned on Prince Fielder falling to our coffers, with perhaps Jose Bautista or Adrian Beltre coming back to us after the wheel pick.
As Todd documented in his article of January 22, Ring Around the Posey, we took an unexpected path in grabbing Buster Posey as our #1 pick, and followed back with Justin Upton as KFFL’s Tim Heaney grabbed Jose Bautista and Dustin Pedroia with his first pair of picks.
If you look at the comments regarding Todd's piece on the draft you will note that not everyone was enamored of the pick, although the bulk of criticism seemed rooted more around the fact that Posey is a catcher and well, catchers get hurt. And that is what made him a "dangerous" selection.
Certainly I was down with the pick because I like Buster, and get to see him a lot, but, beneath the issue of injury—which is a real concern—the Giants backstop can indeed rake.
So, if you are drafting simply to stats and performance, Buster was no more a longshot than our second pick, coming off a down year and now on a new team in an outfield with his brother.
But, one of the things I have thought about through the cluster of mock drafts I have already completed this year is around Buster as catcher and that nagging scarcity issue.
For sure, I had no thought of scarcity in mind when I suggested Posey, and though I do like to draft by filling out the tougher positions first, I have also learned that in most leagues there will always be players later in the draft or auction. (I can also note that in all the Mock Drafts I have done this year, Buster was a first round pick.)
That made it is easy for Todd to suggest Edwin Encarnacion and his projected 35 dingers, agreeing that if would get Kyle Seager in or about the 12th round, that was a fine alternative (which is exactly where we got him).
So, Todd and I similarly agreed that either Erick Aybar or Jhonny Peralta would be out there later in the draft, so we wound up with Aybar in the tenth, and Zack Cozart as our 20th selection, covering short and the middle. In the mean time we filled things out with Brandon Phillips and a troika of pitchers.
Even with closer, we took Greg Holland in the tenth round, Steve Cishek in round 18, followed by Vinnie Pestano as pick 23, and then hedged our closer bets with Frank Francisco and Bobby Parnell in the 25th and 26th rounds respectively.
Now, I will not go as far as to say we took the best player available in each round, for we were both conscious of making sure we walked away with a balanced roster of everyday players. But, as with Buster, we did not take any of these guys so much to take of a scarcity as opposed to filling out our roster, knowing that for each outfielder or arm we took early, that meant a bit of a drop as the leaner spots.
However, we also knew that it is not that much of a drop from Derek Jeter to Erick Aybar anyway. Meaning scarcity always factors into what you are doing a little bit. It is just nothing more to hang one's hat on than anything else.
In the process it destroyed the real notion of scarcity for me forever.
For now, anyway.
BTW, you can check out the entire draft here.