Okay, here’s the deal. I know we like to say NOCAYTBY (no one cares about your team but you) but I am in the championship game of a league that runs through Week 17 and I could use some help. This is a rather unique league in that it is old school, scoring primarily touchdowns. There is a nominal two point bonus for 300-yards passing and 100-yards rushing or receiving, but touchdowns are where it as at. Even the defense scoring is limited, accruing only one point per sack or turnover. The lineup is 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX (RB/WR/TE), 1 K and 1 D. It is irrelevant to the point at hand, but for what it is worth, this is a 16-team league, which does help explain why the team may look weaker than one would expect for a championship finalist.
QB: Carson Palmer or Tim Tebow: In a TD league, Tebow has been very consistent, garnering one or two every week. To me, he is a sure bet to score that again, but is not a candidate to have a 4-TD game. Palmer is higher risk but higher reward. Ultimately, my suspicion is the final decision will revolve around the health of a couple of my key players soon to be discussed. What do you think?
RB: Kahlil Bell, Chris Johnson, Ahmad Bradshaw or Brandon Saine: The big question here is Chris Johnson, but let’s save that for the flex, as Ahmad Bradshaw and Kahlil Bell seem like decent plays. Bell had a strong game last week, save for a couple of fumbles, one of which was recovered for a TD. He should get the rock again and is a good bet to score. The Giants-Cowboys game is likely to be a shootout so Bradshaw should at least have multiple shots at pay dirt. I don’t have the guts to do this, but if I was injured at RB and was forced to play Saine, I would be talking about how he would be a sneaky play, since the Packers are likely to protect Ryan Grant and James Starks. Right now, my lean is Bell and Bradshaw, anyone disagree?
WR: Calvin Johnson, Miles Austin, Greg Little and Laurent Robinson: Megatron joins CJ2K as my stud injury risks. Unless word comes out that Johnson is not playing, I think I have to start him. Of the two Cowboy wideouts, I am tending towards Austin over Robinson, but can be convinced otherwise. Little is out of the picture (which means he will have three end zone visits). Would you go with Robinson over Austin?
TE: Jared Cook or Kellen Winslow: Houston is locked into the third seed, which only solidifies going with Cook, who has been fantastic the last two weeks. But, feel free to convince me otherwise.
FLEX: Chris Johnson or Laurent Robinson: Unless you think I should go with Saine. I suppose it is going to come down to the injury situation, but maybe not. After all, it is a TD league and Johnson is not exactly a touchdown machine. Here is where I need the most help, as part of me is considering doing the insane with Saine.
As alluded to above, my QB choice may depend upon who I choose at flex, deciding if the one or two scores I get from Tebow is the safe play, or if I need the upside of Palmer throwing to those speedy receivers.
D: Jacksonville or Tennessee: The Jags face the Colts while the Titans have the Texans. The Jax matchup looks juicy, but they have had some sweet matchups and have done squat lately. If the Texans sit their studs, Tennessee could be a good play, but early word is Arian Foster is going to play.
K: Shaun Suisham: Our rosters requirements only allow for three combined K and D so unless I dip into the waivers, Suisham is all I have. I am actually okay with this, he should get ample chances to boot the pigskin versus the Browns and the early forecast is for rain, which could curtail the offense a bit.
Here is what my opponent has submitted for his early lineup. Obviously, it is subject to change.
QB: Drew Brees
RB: Michael Turner, Mike Tolbert
WR: Marques Colston, Jeremy Maclin, Steve Smith (CAR)
TE: Rob Gronkowski
K: Nick Folk
D: Buffalo Bills
Not bad, eh? I am obviously hoping Sean Payton has a change in heart and chains Brees to the bench, but even then, I am facing some decent firepower at the skill positions.
I have scratched and clawed my way this far, please help me finish the job.